Football · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga · 09/08, 21:00
Prediction: Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.42Total
Zrinjski Mostar1.9
NK Celik Zenica0.51
1X2
Zrinjski Mostar
Draw
NK Celik Zenica
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zrinjski Mostar
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
NK Celik Zenica
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zrinjski Mostar
5–1
NK Celik Zenica
(6 last)
- NK Celik Zenica0-6Zrinjski Mostar
- NK Celik Zenica0-2Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar3-0NK Celik Zenica
- NK Celik Zenica0-1Zrinjski Mostar
- Zrinjski Mostar3-0NK Celik Zenica
- NK Celik Zenica1-0Zrinjski Mostar
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zrinjski Mostar 1558 · NK Celik Zenica 1579
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | NK Celik Zenica | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 22% | 8% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.42 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Zrinjski Mostar: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zrinjski Mostar | NK Celik Zenica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 78/11/11% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.8 | 2.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zrinjski Mostar 5–0–1 NK Celik Zenica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/23 Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup | NK Celik Zenica | 0-6 HT 0-5 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 23/02/20 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 22/09/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 11/05/19 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Zrinjski Mostar |
| 27/10/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | Zrinjski Mostar | 3-0 HT 2-0 | NK Celik Zenica |
| 12/08/18 Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga | NK Celik Zenica | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zrinjski Mostar |
Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zeljeznicar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Borac Banja Luka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Radnik Bijeljina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sarajevo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | FK Sloga Doboj | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Velez Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Zrinjski Mostar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | NK Celik Zenica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Siroki Brijeg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | BSK Banja Luka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zrinjski Mostar
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Valur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Valur Reykjavik UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 17/07 | HSK Posusje Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | FK Arsenal Europe Friendlies |
4-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/07 | Siroki Brijeg Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Sarajevo Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 26/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Rudar Prijedor Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/05 | HSK Posusje Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | Velez Mostar Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 10 | D |
NK Celik Zenica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Zvijezda 09 Europe Friendlies |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/07 | NK Zvijezda Gradacac Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | GOSK Gabela Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 31/05 | FK Igman Konjic Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | FK Radnik Hadzici Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | FK Tuzla City Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | NK Tosk Tesanj Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 03/05 | NK Vitez Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Jedinstvo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 19/04 | NK Stupcanica Olovo Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zrinjski Mostar win (71%). Probabilities: Zrinjski Mostar 71%, draw 20%, NK Celik Zenica 9%.
How many goals are expected in Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Zrinjski Mostar 1.9 · NK Celik Zenica 0.51), with a 58% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Zrinjski Mostar vs NK Celik Zenica?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.