Prediction: BSK Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar

Team pages: BSK Banja Luka · Velez Mostar

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.5Total
BSK Banja Luka1.13
Velez Mostar1.38
1X2
30% 29% 41%
BSK Banja Luka Draw Velez Mostar
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
BSK Banja Luka 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LDWDWWWDLL
Velez Mostar 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DDWLLDWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BSK Banja Luka 1508 · Velez Mostar 1462
BSK Banja LukaDrawVelez Mostar
Our model29%29%41%
Market30%29%41%
Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours BSK Banja Luka (rating 1508 vs 1462).
  • Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

BSK Banja LukaVelez Mostar
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.11.1 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 0.30.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/67/33%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.5 / 2.52.1 / 3.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 0.54.9 / 0.4

Standings · Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Siroki Brijeg 2110 214
2 Borac Banja Luka 1100 313
3 Zeljeznicar 1100 213
3 Zrinjski Mostar 1100 213
5 Radnik Bijeljina 1010 001
5 FK Sarajevo 1010 001
7 FK Sloga Doboj 1010 001
8 BSK Banja Luka 1001 120
9 NK Celik Zenica 2002 240
10 Velez Mostar 1001 130

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BSK Banja Luka

LDWDWWWDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 Zeljeznicar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-0 1-2 L
30/05 FK Kozara Gradiska
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
1-3 L
24/05 Leotar
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
0-0 D
16/05 FK Drina Zvornik
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
3-2 W
10/05 FK Laktasi
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
3-2 W
02/05 Slavija Sarajevo
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
1-0 W
25/04 FK Laktasi
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
0-0 0-0 27 D
18/04 FK Drina Zvornik
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
1-0 W
11/04 Sutjeska Foca
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
1-1 D
08/04 FK Omarska
Bosnia & Herzegovina 1st League
0-1 0-1 34 L

Velez Mostar

DDWLLDWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-2 1-3 53 L
30/07 Dunajska Streda
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-2 0-3 13 L
23/07 Dunajska Streda
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 0-1 14 L
16/07 FC Milsami
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-0 37 W
09/07 FC Milsami
UEFA Conference League Qualifying
0-0 1-1 97 D
26/05 Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-2 0-3 14 L
21/05 FK Sarajevo
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
1-0 2-3 23 L
16/05 FK Rudar Prijedor
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
3-2 4-2 38 W
13/05 Zrinjski Mostar
Bosnia & Herzegovina Cup
0-1 1-1 510 D
09/05 HSK Posusje
Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga
0-1 1-1 24 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BSK Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Velez Mostar win (41%). Probabilities: BSK Banja Luka 30%, draw 29%, Velez Mostar 41%.

How many goals are expected in BSK Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?

The model expects 2.5 goals (BSK Banja Luka 1.13 · Velez Mostar 1.38), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in BSK Banja Luka vs Velez Mostar?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.