Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 03/10, 10:30

Prediction: FK Prepere vs TJ Svitavy

Team pages: FK Prepere · TJ Svitavy

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.91Total

FK Prepere2.73

TJ Svitavy1.18

1X2

70% 17% 14%

FK Prepere Draw TJ Svitavy

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Prepere 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WWLWWWWWWL

TJ Svitavy 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLLDDL

Head-to-head

FK Prepere 2–0 TJ Svitavy (2 last)

FK Prepere1-0TJ Svitavy
TJ Svitavy0-4FK Prepere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1583 · TJ Svitavy 1409

	FK Prepere	Draw	TJ Svitavy
Our model	69%	17%	13%
Market	70%	16%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.91 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Prepere (rating 1583 vs 1409).
H2H favours FK Prepere: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Prepere	TJ Svitavy
Goals for / against (FT)	2.9 / 1	1.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.2	0.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.8	1.6 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.50

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.90

2 (+1.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:23 +4’	1.28	5.50	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 2–0–0 TJ Svitavy

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	1-0 HT 1-0	TJ Svitavy
12/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Svitavy	0-4 HT 0-2	FK Prepere

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	8	6	0	2	19	11	18
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
8	TJ Novy Jicin	8	4	1	3	17	16	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Prepere	TJ Svitavy
Dvur Kralove	0-1 L	0-1 L
Hlinsko	5-0 W	0-6 L
FC Slavia HK	1-0 W	2-3 L
Letohrad	8-1 W	3-1 W
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Prepere (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Prepere

WWLWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	10	6	L
19/09	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	5-0	3	3	W
12/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	8-1	11	0	W
29/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
22/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-2	6	4	W
16/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/06	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

TJ Svitavy

WLWLLLLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	5	L
19/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
13/09	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	8	3	L
30/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/08	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-6	–	–	L
15/08	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	3	6	L
09/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
13/06	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
07/06	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs TJ Svitavy?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Prepere win (70%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 70%, draw 17%, TJ Svitavy 14%.

How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs TJ Svitavy?

The model expects 3.91 goals (FK Prepere 2.73 · TJ Svitavy 1.18), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs TJ Svitavy?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.