Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 04/10, 10:15

Prediction: FK Chlumec N.C vs Hlinsko

Team pages: FK Chlumec N.C · Hlinsko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

FK Chlumec N.C2.31

Hlinsko1.45

1X2

56% 21% 23%

FK Chlumec N.C Draw Hlinsko

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Chlumec N.C 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Hlinsko 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FK Chlumec N.C 1–1 Hlinsko (2 last)

FK Chlumec N.C3-2Hlinsko
Hlinsko4-2FK Chlumec N.C

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Chlumec N.C 1514 · Hlinsko 1475

	FK Chlumec N.C	Draw	Hlinsko
Our model	56%	21%	23%
Market	56%	21%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Chlumec N.C	Hlinsko
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.8	1.7 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	1.2 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.33

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:08 +10’	1.60	4.33	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Chlumec N.C 1–0–1 Hlinsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	3-2 HT 1-0	Hlinsko
09/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	4-2 HT 1-1	FK Chlumec N.C

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	8	7	0	1	29	10	21
2	Kravare	8	6	1	1	21	11	19
3	Hlucin	9	6	1	2	20	12	19
4	FC Vratimov	8	6	0	2	17	11	18
5	Jiskra Rymarov	8	4	2	2	20	12	14
6	SK Stonava	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	TJ Novy Jicin	9	4	2	3	18	17	14
8	Opava B	8	4	1	3	18	15	13
9	SK Zabreh	8	3	2	3	10	10	11
10	Pusta Polom	8	3	1	4	12	16	10
11	TJ Valasske Mezirici	8	2	3	3	18	17	9
12	FK Sumperk	8	2	1	5	11	14	7
13	Bridlicna	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
14	Frydek Mistek B	8	2	0	6	14	20	6
15	SSK Bilovec	8	1	1	6	4	17	4
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	8	0	0	8	7	34	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Chlumec N.C	Hlinsko
SK Sparta Kolin	1-1 D	1-1 D
SK Vysoke Myto	2-4 L	2-3 L
FK Brandys nad Labem	1-1 D	0-7 L
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Chlumec N.C

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
20/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	6	0	W
12/09	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-2	9	4	W
06/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
06/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Hlinsko

LLDWWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-5	1	3	L
12/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
29/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
06/06	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Chlumec N.C vs Hlinsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Chlumec N.C win (56%). Probabilities: FK Chlumec N.C 56%, draw 21%, Hlinsko 23%.

How many goals are expected in FK Chlumec N.C vs Hlinsko?

The model expects 3.76 goals (FK Chlumec N.C 2.31 · Hlinsko 1.45), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Chlumec N.C vs Hlinsko?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.