Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/09, 19:00

Prediction: TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou vs FC Milevsko

Team pages: TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou · FC Milevsko

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou2.71

FC Milevsko1.15

1X2

70% 18% 13%

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou Draw FC Milevsko

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

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FC Milevsko 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 2–1–0 FC Milevsko (3 last)

FC Milevsko3-6TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou3-1FC Milevsko
FC Milevsko3-3TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 1592 · FC Milevsko 1392

	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	Draw	FC Milevsko
Our model	70%	17%	13%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou (rating 1592 vs 1392).
H2H favours TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou: 2-1-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	FC Milevsko
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.4	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	78/11/11%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 6.5	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.2	1.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.82

2 (+1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:21 +3’	1.28	5.00	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 2–1–0 FC Milevsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Milevsko	3-6 HT 1-2	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou
19/09/25 Czechia 4. Liga	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Milevsko
06/11/22 Czechia 5. Liga	FC Milevsko	3-3 HT 2-0	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
9	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
10	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
11	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou	FC Milevsko
Jiskra Domazlice B	1-0 W	0-3 L
SK Petrin Plzen	1-0 W	0-3 L
FK Horovicko	2-2 D	0-1 L
Slavoj Cesky Krumlov	3-1 W	1-2 L
FC Rokycany	2-0 W	1-2 L
FK Komarov	6-1 W	0-0 D
TJ Prestice B	1-0 W	5-2 W
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Taborsko B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	3-1	–	–	W
04/09	Spartak Sobeslav Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-2	4	7	D
21/08	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	10	6	W
08/08	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	1	8	D
10/06	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
07/06	Povltavska FA Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	2-3	5	1	L
30/05	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
22/05	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-1	9	5	W
16/05	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	10	3	W

FC Milevsko

LDWLLDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Jiskra Domazlice B Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	SK Petrin Plzen Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-3	1	1	L
30/08	FK Horovicko Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Slavoj Cesky Krumlov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
07/08	FC Rokycany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	4	2	L
13/06	FK Komarov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	3-5	7	2	L
07/06	TJ Prestice B Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	TJ Milin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
24/05	FC Krimice Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou vs FC Milevsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou win (70%). Probabilities: TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 70%, draw 18%, FC Milevsko 13%.

How many goals are expected in TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou vs FC Milevsko?

The model expects 3.86 goals (TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou 2.71 · FC Milevsko 1.15), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in TJ Hluboka nad Vltavou vs FC Milevsko?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.