Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 18/09, 19:00

Prediction: FC Karlovy Vary vs Banik Sokolov

Team pages: FC Karlovy Vary · Banik Sokolov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.06Total

FC Karlovy Vary2.06

Banik Sokolov2

1X2

40% 22% 38%

FC Karlovy Vary Draw Banik Sokolov

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Karlovy Vary 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Banik Sokolov 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Karlovy Vary 3–2–1 Banik Sokolov (6 last)

Banik Sokolov3-4FC Karlovy Vary
FC Karlovy Vary1-1Banik Sokolov
FC Karlovy Vary0-0Banik Sokolov
Banik Sokolov1-2FC Karlovy Vary
FC Karlovy Vary2-0Banik Sokolov
Banik Sokolov3-1FC Karlovy Vary

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Karlovy Vary 1533 · Banik Sokolov 1554

	FC Karlovy Vary	Draw	Banik Sokolov
Our model	40%	22%	38%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.8

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Karlovy Vary: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Karlovy Vary	Banik Sokolov
Goals for / against (FT)	3.7 / 1.8	2.8 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1.8 / 1	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	1.5 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 1.65 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:04 +20’	2.25	4.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Karlovy Vary 3–2–1 Banik Sokolov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Banik Sokolov	3-4 HT 2-0	FC Karlovy Vary
31/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	1-1 HT 0-1	Banik Sokolov
23/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	0-0 HT 0-0	Banik Sokolov
26/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Banik Sokolov	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Karlovy Vary
21/04/23 Czechia 3. Liga	FC Karlovy Vary	2-0 HT 1-0	Banik Sokolov
24/09/22 Czechia 3. Liga	Banik Sokolov	3-1 HT 1-1	FC Karlovy Vary

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
9	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
10	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
11	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Karlovy Vary	Banik Sokolov
FC Predni Kopanina	6-0 W	4-2 W
FK Olympie Brezova	7-0 W	4-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Karlovy Vary (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Karlovy Vary

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
05/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-4	2	3	L
29/08	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	4	3	L
22/08	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
15/08	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-4	2	6	L
07/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-2	1	7	W
13/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	4-0	6-0	10	0	W
06/06	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	7-0	11	0	W
02/06	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
29/05	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	4-3	2	6	W

Banik Sokolov

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	4	7	W
05/09	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
30/08	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
15/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	5	10	L
08/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	6-0	2	8	W
13/06	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
07/06	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	3	3	D
29/05	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-4	2	6	L
23/05	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-2	5	6	W
16/05	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	4-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Karlovy Vary vs Banik Sokolov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Karlovy Vary win (40%). Probabilities: FC Karlovy Vary 40%, draw 22%, Banik Sokolov 38%.

How many goals are expected in FC Karlovy Vary vs Banik Sokolov?

The model expects 4.06 goals (FC Karlovy Vary 2.06 · Banik Sokolov 2), with a 57% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Karlovy Vary vs Banik Sokolov?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.