Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 16:30

Prediction: FK Ostrov vs SK Rapid Psary

Team pages: FK Ostrov · SK Rapid Psary

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.22Total

FK Ostrov1.62

SK Rapid Psary1.6

1X2

38% 25% 37%

FK Ostrov Draw SK Rapid Psary

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Ostrov 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLWLLLWD

SK Rapid Psary 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWDLWLWWL

Head-to-head

FK Ostrov 1–1 SK Rapid Psary (2 last)

FK Ostrov0-2SK Rapid Psary
SK Rapid Psary1-2FK Ostrov

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Rapid Psary (rating 1475 vs 1527).
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Ostrov	SK Rapid Psary
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.9	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.4	3.8 / 6.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.79

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:18

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.61 → 2.61	Pinn 2.61
X	3.26 → 3.26	Pinn 3.26
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
05:41 +37’	2.61	3.26	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Ostrov 1–0–1 SK Rapid Psary

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Ostrov	0-2 HT 0-1	SK Rapid Psary
16/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Rapid Psary	1-2 HT 1-0	FK Ostrov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
7	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Ostrov	SK Rapid Psary
SK Steti	1-3 L	0-1 L
Chomutov	1-0 W	1-2 L
FC Karlovy Vary	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Ostrov (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Ostrov

WDWLWLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	1	8	D
06/09	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-1	4	2	W
29/08	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-3	4	11	L
16/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	1	2	L
08/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-3	8	4	L
13/06	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
06/06	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
30/05	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	2	8	W
23/05	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	4	7	D
16/05	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

SK Rapid Psary

WDWDLWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
05/09	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-1	–	–	W
29/08	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	11	3	W
22/08	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	5	2	L
15/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-0	9	5	W
07/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	5	3	L
13/06	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
06/06	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
23/05	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	6-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Ostrov vs SK Rapid Psary?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Ostrov win (38%). Probabilities: FK Ostrov 38%, draw 25%, SK Rapid Psary 37%.

How many goals are expected in FK Ostrov vs SK Rapid Psary?

The model expects 3.22 goals (FK Ostrov 1.62 · SK Rapid Psary 1.6), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Ostrov vs SK Rapid Psary?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.