Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 10:30

Prediction: FK Prepere vs Hlinsko

Team pages: FK Prepere · Hlinsko

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Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.29Total

FK Prepere2.77

Hlinsko1.53

1X2

62% 19% 18%

FK Prepere Draw Hlinsko

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Prepere 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWWW

Hlinsko 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWWWLW

Head-to-head

FK Prepere 2–1–1 Hlinsko (4 last)

Hlinsko4-1FK Prepere
FK Prepere3-3Hlinsko
FK Prepere5-0Hlinsko
Hlinsko1-2FK Prepere

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Prepere 1585 · Hlinsko 1507

	FK Prepere	Draw	Hlinsko
Our model	63%	18%	19%
Market	62%	20%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Prepere (rating 1585 vs 1507).
H2H favours FK Prepere: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Prepere	Hlinsko
Goals for / against (FT)	3 / 1.1	1.7 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.5 / 0.3	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/30/0%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6.4	1.5 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	4.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.45

X4.50

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.45▼	Pinn 1.46 ★
X	4.10 → 4.50▲	Bet365 4.50
2	3.75 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:18 +2’	1.65	4.10	3.75
00:08 +3’	1.45▼	4.50▲	5.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:48 +84’	1.44	4.27	4.44
08:30 +3’	1.46▲	4.50▲	4.70▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Prepere 2–1–1 Hlinsko

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	4-1 HT 2-0	FK Prepere
04/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	3-3 HT 3-2	Hlinsko
26/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Prepere	5-0 HT 2-0	Hlinsko
29/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	1-2 HT 0-1	FK Prepere

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Hlucin	7	6	0	1	18	7	18
3	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	SK Stonava	7	3	2	2	12	10	11
7	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	7	2	1	4	9	14	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	7	1	3	3	12	17	6
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Prepere	Hlinsko
Turnov	5-2 W	0-4 L
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	1-0 W	2-2 D
FK Trutnov	4-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FK Prepere (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Prepere

WWWWLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	6-0	8-1	11	0	W
29/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	8	3	W
22/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	5-2	6	4	W
16/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
08/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
06/06	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W
30/05	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	4	5	W
23/05	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Hlinsko

LDLLDWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	4	W
05/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
29/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
06/06	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
30/05	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	2	6	D
24/05	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Prepere vs Hlinsko?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Prepere win (62%). Probabilities: FK Prepere 62%, draw 19%, Hlinsko 18%.

How many goals are expected in FK Prepere vs Hlinsko?

The model expects 4.29 goals (FK Prepere 2.77 · Hlinsko 1.53), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Prepere vs Hlinsko?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.