Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 19/09, 16:30

Prediction: SK Kosmonosy vs MFK Chrudim B

Team pages: SK Kosmonosy · MFK Chrudim B

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

SK Kosmonosy2.6

MFK Chrudim B1.63

1X2

58% 20% 22%

SK Kosmonosy Draw MFK Chrudim B

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SK Kosmonosy 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLDLWDWWWL

MFK Chrudim B 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLLLDL

Head-to-head

SK Kosmonosy 3–2–1 MFK Chrudim B (6 last)

MFK Chrudim B1-2SK Kosmonosy
SK Kosmonosy1-1MFK Chrudim B
SK Kosmonosy4-0MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B1-1SK Kosmonosy
SK Kosmonosy3-1MFK Chrudim B
MFK Chrudim B5-0SK Kosmonosy

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SK Kosmonosy 1519 · MFK Chrudim B 1445

	SK Kosmonosy	Draw	MFK Chrudim B
Our model	58%	19%	23%
Market	57%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Kosmonosy (rating 1519 vs 1445).
H2H favours SK Kosmonosy: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SK Kosmonosy	MFK Chrudim B
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 2	1.8 / 3.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.1	0.5 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/10/60%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5	1 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.33

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.95

2 (+1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 1 · xG: 4.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
08:44 +8’	1.57	4.33	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SK Kosmonosy 3–2–1 MFK Chrudim B

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	1-2 HT 0-1	SK Kosmonosy
25/10/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	1-1 HT 1-0	MFK Chrudim B
19/04/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	4-0 HT 2-0	MFK Chrudim B
21/09/24 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	1-1 HT 0-1	SK Kosmonosy
27/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Kosmonosy	3-1 HT 1-0	MFK Chrudim B
01/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	5-0 HT 3-0	SK Kosmonosy

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	6	6	0	0	24	6	18
2	Kravare	6	5	0	1	17	9	15
3	Hlucin	6	5	0	1	14	6	15
4	Opava B	6	4	1	1	14	8	13
5	FC Vratimov	6	4	0	2	11	8	12
6	Jiskra Rymarov	6	3	1	2	14	8	10
7	SK Stonava	6	3	1	2	10	8	10
8	SK Zabreh	6	3	1	2	7	5	10
9	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
10	FK Sumperk	6	2	1	3	9	9	7
11	Pusta Polom	6	2	1	3	8	10	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	6	1	2	3	10	15	5
13	SSK Bilovec	6	1	1	4	4	12	4
14	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
15	Frydek Mistek B	6	0	0	6	6	17	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	6	0	0	6	6	23	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SK Kosmonosy	MFK Chrudim B
FK Chlumec N.C	2-0 W	2-3 L
SK Vysoke Myto	2-2 D	4-4 D
FK Prepere	4-2 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SK Kosmonosy (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SK Kosmonosy

WLDLWDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-4	7	5	L
05/09	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-1	3	4	W
30/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	4-0	6	3	W
23/08	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-0	2	5	W
15/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
08/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	4-2	6	5	W
13/06	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
07/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-3	3-3	4	1	D
30/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
23/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

MFK Chrudim B

LWWWLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	2	4	L
05/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	5	3	D
29/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	0-6	7	2	L
08/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	2-7	4	1	L
13/06	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
07/06	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
31/05	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	5	7	W
23/05	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SK Kosmonosy vs MFK Chrudim B?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SK Kosmonosy win (58%). Probabilities: SK Kosmonosy 58%, draw 20%, MFK Chrudim B 22%.

How many goals are expected in SK Kosmonosy vs MFK Chrudim B?

The model expects 4.24 goals (SK Kosmonosy 2.6 · MFK Chrudim B 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SK Kosmonosy vs MFK Chrudim B?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.