Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 10:30

Prediction: FK Usti nad Labem B vs FK Brandys nad Labem

Team pages: FK Usti nad Labem B · FK Brandys nad Labem

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

FK Usti nad Labem B1.73

FK Brandys nad Labem1.93

1X2

34% 23% 43%

FK Usti nad Labem B Draw FK Brandys nad Labem

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FK Usti nad Labem B 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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FK Brandys nad Labem 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Usti nad Labem B 1463 · FK Brandys nad Labem 1504

	FK Usti nad Labem B	Draw	FK Brandys nad Labem
Our model	34%	23%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Brandys nad Labem (rating 1463 vs 1504).
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FK Usti nad Labem B	FK Brandys nad Labem
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.5	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.3	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.5	1.5 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.95 · xG: 4.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:35

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:29 +6’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FK Usti nad Labem B	FK Brandys nad Labem
Sokol Hostoun	0-4 L	2-4 L
FC Tempo Prague	1-1 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Usti nad Labem B

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	3-1	0	7	W
29/08	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
21/08	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-5	10	4	L
15/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
08/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-6	5	8	L
10/06	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
06/06	FC Predni Kopanina Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
30/05	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
23/05	TJ Spoje Praha Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-3	1	2	L
16/05	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-1	1	1	D

FK Brandys nad Labem

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Sokol Hostoun Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-4	3	3	L
29/08	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
15/08	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	4-3	3	6	W
08/08	Hvezda Cheb Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
13/06	Hlinsko Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	7-0	–	–	W
06/06	FK Chlumec N.C Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
30/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
24/05	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
16/05	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	6	10	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Usti nad Labem B vs FK Brandys nad Labem?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Brandys nad Labem win (43%). Probabilities: FK Usti nad Labem B 34%, draw 23%, FK Brandys nad Labem 43%.

How many goals are expected in FK Usti nad Labem B vs FK Brandys nad Labem?

The model expects 3.66 goals (FK Usti nad Labem B 1.73 · FK Brandys nad Labem 1.93), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Usti nad Labem B vs FK Brandys nad Labem?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.