Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 17:00

Prediction: Chomutov vs SK Slany

Team pages: Chomutov · SK Slany

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Chomutov2

SK Slany1.39

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Chomutov Draw SK Slany

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Chomutov 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDWWWWW

SK Slany 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDDWLL

Head-to-head

Chomutov 5–1 SK Slany (6 last)

Chomutov4-1SK Slany
SK Slany0-2Chomutov
SK Slany2-1Chomutov
Chomutov3-1SK Slany
Chomutov3-0SK Slany
SK Slany0-1Chomutov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chomutov 1601 · SK Slany 1481

	Chomutov	Draw	SK Slany
Our model	51%	24%	26%
Market	52%	22%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 3.39 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chomutov (rating 1601 vs 1481).
H2H favours Chomutov: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chomutov	SK Slany
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 0.7	2.7 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	1.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.2	2.4 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.75

X4.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.98

2 (+0.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	3.00 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
14:10 +1’	1.91	4.00	3.00
19:19 +10’	1.75▼	4.10▲	3.40▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Chomutov 5–0–1 SK Slany

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	4-1 HT 3-1	SK Slany
08/11/25 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Slany	0-2 HT 0-1	Chomutov
10/05/24 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Slany	2-1 HT 0-1	Chomutov
14/10/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	3-1 HT 1-0	SK Slany
12/04/23 Czechia 4. Liga	Chomutov	3-0 HT 0-0	SK Slany
13/08/22 Czechia 4. Liga	SK Slany	0-1 HT 0-1	Chomutov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chomutov	SK Slany
SK Steti	2-1 W	3-1 W
Banik Sokolov	1-0 W	1-2 L
SK Rapid Psary	2-1 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Chomutov (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chomutov

WWLWDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	5	6	W
29/08	Meteor Prague VIII Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	4-0	7	0	W
21/08	FK Usti nad Labem B Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
15/08	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	10	W
07/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	6	3	W
13/06	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-2	8	6	D
05/06	SK Slany Czechia 4. Liga	3-1	4-1	6	1	W
30/05	FK Ostrov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
22/05	FK Louny Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	2-1	5	6	W
15/05	Viktoria Marianske Lazne Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-0	1	4	W

SK Slany

WDWLWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Banik Sokolov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
29/08	SK Rapid Psary Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
22/08	Slavoj Vysehrad Czechia 4. Liga	5-1	9-1	9	2	W
15/08	Slovan Velvary Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
08/08	SK Ujezd Praha 4 Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	2	7	D
13/06	SK Steti Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/06	Chomutov Czechia 4. Liga	1-3	1-4	3	1	L
30/05	FC Tempo Prague Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	4	5	W
22/05	FC Karlovy Vary Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	2-2	3	2	D
16/05	FK Olympie Brezova Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-1	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chomutov vs SK Slany?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chomutov win (51%). Probabilities: Chomutov 51%, draw 23%, SK Slany 26%.

How many goals are expected in Chomutov vs SK Slany?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Chomutov 2 · SK Slany 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Chomutov vs SK Slany?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.