Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 10:30

Prediction: Hlinsko vs FK Trutnov

Team pages: FK Trutnov

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Hlinsko1.9

FK Trutnov1.9

1X2

39% 23% 39%

Hlinsko Draw FK Trutnov

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hlinsko 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDWWWL

FK Trutnov 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLWWD

Head-to-head

Hlinsko 5–1 FK Trutnov (6 last)

FK Trutnov1-3Hlinsko
Hlinsko3-4FK Trutnov
Hlinsko2-1FK Trutnov
FK Trutnov0-1Hlinsko
Hlinsko4-2FK Trutnov
Hlinsko2-1FK Trutnov

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hlinsko 1501 · FK Trutnov 1470

	Hlinsko	Draw	FK Trutnov
Our model	39%	23%	39%
Market	39%	22%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hlinsko: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hlinsko	FK Trutnov
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.2	1.7 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	0.8 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.9	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
17:32 +5’	2.30	4.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hlinsko 5–0–1 FK Trutnov

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Trutnov	1-3 HT 1-0	Hlinsko
30/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	3-4 HT 1-1	FK Trutnov
27/08/25 Czechia Cup	Hlinsko	2-1 HT 1-0	FK Trutnov
25/05/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Trutnov	0-1 HT 0-1	Hlinsko
27/10/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	4-2 HT 2-1	FK Trutnov
28/04/24 Czechia 4. Liga	Hlinsko	2-1 HT 1-1	FK Trutnov

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
7	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
8	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
9	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
10	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
11	TJ Novy Jicin	5	2	1	2	8	11	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	5	1	0	4	5	12	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hlinsko	FK Trutnov
Spartak Police Nad Metuji	2-2 D	1-2 L
Turnov	0-4 L	0-4 L
Slovan Hradek nad Nisou	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hlinsko (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hlinsko

WLDLLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	1	4	L
29/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	1	6	W
23/08	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/08	Dvur Kralove Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-2	10	4	W
08/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
13/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	0-7	–	–	L
06/06	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	1-3	5	5	L
30/05	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	2-2	2-2	2	6	D
24/05	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-4	5	3	L
16/05	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	3	5	W

FK Trutnov

DLLWLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	FC Slavia HK Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-2	6	3	D
29/08	Letohrad Czechia 4. Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
16/08	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	0-4	2	4	L
08/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	7	7	L
13/06	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-4	6	5	L
07/06	Slovan Hradek nad Nisou Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/05	MFK Chrudim B Czechia 4. Liga	0-2	2-3	4	7	L
23/05	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	1-4	–	–	L
17/05	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hlinsko vs FK Trutnov?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hlinsko win (39%). Probabilities: Hlinsko 39%, draw 23%, FK Trutnov 39%.

How many goals are expected in Hlinsko vs FK Trutnov?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Hlinsko 1.9 · FK Trutnov 1.9), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hlinsko vs FK Trutnov?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.