Football · Czechia 4. Liga · 12/09, 16:00

Prediction: MFK Chrudim B vs FK Chlumec N.C

Team pages: MFK Chrudim B · FK Chlumec N.C

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

MFK Chrudim B1.39

FK Chlumec N.C1.91

1X2

28% 23% 49%

MFK Chrudim B Draw FK Chlumec N.C

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

MFK Chrudim B 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWWLLLLD

FK Chlumec N.C 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLLW

Head-to-head

MFK Chrudim B 0–2 FK Chlumec N.C (2 last)

MFK Chrudim B0-2FK Chlumec N.C
FK Chlumec N.C1-0MFK Chrudim B

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MFK Chrudim B 1458 · FK Chlumec N.C 1451

	MFK Chrudim B	Draw	FK Chlumec N.C
Our model	27%	24%	49%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FK Chlumec N.C: 2-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	MFK Chrudim B	FK Chlumec N.C
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 3.1	0.8 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.5	0.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 5.6	2 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.20

X4.10

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.98

2 (-0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 06:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.62 ★
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.00 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 12.7%

Time*	1	X	2
13:44 +11’	2.75	4.00	2.00
06:54 +6’	3.20▲	4.10▲	1.80▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:53 +66’	3.18	3.87	1.81
10:04 +32’	3.62▲	4.09▲	1.65▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · MFK Chrudim B 0–0–2 FK Chlumec N.C

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Czechia 4. Liga	MFK Chrudim B	0-2 HT 0-2	FK Chlumec N.C
31/08/25 Czechia 4. Liga	FK Chlumec N.C	1-0 HT 0-0	MFK Chrudim B

Standings · Czechia 4. Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FK Bohumin	5	5	0	0	19	5	15
2	Kravare	5	5	0	0	16	4	15
3	FC Vratimov	5	4	0	1	11	5	12
4	Hlucin	5	4	0	1	9	4	12
5	Opava B	5	3	1	1	11	8	10
6	TJ Novy Jicin	6	3	1	2	12	13	10
7	Jiskra Rymarov	5	2	1	2	9	6	7
8	FK Sumperk	5	2	1	2	9	8	7
9	SK Stonava	5	2	1	2	8	7	7
10	SK Zabreh	5	2	1	2	6	5	7
11	Pusta Polom	5	2	1	2	8	9	7
12	TJ Valasske Mezirici	5	1	2	2	8	10	5
13	Bridlicna	6	1	0	5	7	16	3
14	SSK Bilovec	5	0	1	4	3	12	1
15	Frydek Mistek B	5	0	0	5	5	15	0
16	Frydlant Nad Ostravici	5	0	0	5	4	18	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	MFK Chrudim B	FK Chlumec N.C
SK Vysoke Myto	4-4 D	2-4 L
Zenit Caslav	2-1 W	1-0 W
SK Kosmonosy	1-2 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: MFK Chrudim B (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MFK Chrudim B

WLWWWLLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/09	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	4-4	5	3	D
29/08	FK Prepere Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	2	3	L
22/08	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
15/08	Usti N Orlici Czechia 4. Liga	0-5	0-6	7	2	L
08/08	Cechie Vykan Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	2-7	4	1	L
13/06	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	2-1	8	3	W
07/06	FK Nachod Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	3-1	6	3	W
31/05	FK Trutnov Czechia 4. Liga	2-0	3-2	5	7	W
23/05	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/05	TJ Svitavy Czechia 4. Liga	1-1	2-1	8	7	W

FK Chlumec N.C

WLLDLLDLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/09	Turnov Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/08	Spartak Police Nad Metuji Czechia 4. Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
23/08	SK Kosmonosy Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-2	6	5	L
16/08	SK Sparta Kolin Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-1	6	1	D
08/08	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	1-2	2-4	6	5	L
13/06	SK Vysoke Myto Czechia 4. Liga	0-3	1-4	4	0	L
06/06	FK Brandys nad Labem Czechia 4. Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
31/05	FK Dobrovice Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
23/05	FK Horni Redice Czechia 4. Liga	0-4	0-4	7	4	L
17/05	Zenit Caslav Czechia 4. Liga	0-0	1-0	1	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MFK Chrudim B vs FK Chlumec N.C?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Chlumec N.C win (49%). Probabilities: MFK Chrudim B 28%, draw 23%, FK Chlumec N.C 49%.

How many goals are expected in MFK Chrudim B vs FK Chlumec N.C?

The model expects 3.3 goals (MFK Chrudim B 1.39 · FK Chlumec N.C 1.91), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MFK Chrudim B vs FK Chlumec N.C?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.