Football · Colombia Primera B · 24/08, 22:00
Prediction: Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena
Team pages: Tigres FC · Union Magdalena
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.97Total
Tigres FC0.75
Union Magdalena1.23
1X2
Tigres FC
Draw
Union Magdalena
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 60%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-1
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Union Magdalena
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres FC
3–1–2
Union Magdalena
(6 last)
- Union Magdalena3-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-1Union Magdalena
- Union Magdalena0-0Tigres FC
- Union Magdalena2-1Tigres FC
- Tigres FC2-1Union Magdalena
- Tigres FC1-0Union Magdalena
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1454 · Union Magdalena 1522
| Tigres FC | Draw | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 21% | 32% | 46% |
| Market | 23% | 29% | 48% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.97 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Union Magdalena (rating 1454 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Tigres FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Union Magdalena | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.1 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.3 | 2.7 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 3–1–2 Union Magdalena
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Tigres FC |
| 16/10/24 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Union Magdalena |
| 05/05/24 Colombia Primera B | Union Magdalena | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 21/03/24 Colombia Cup | Union Magdalena | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Tigres FC |
| 07/03/24 Colombia Cup | Tigres FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
| 02/05/23 Colombia Cup | Tigres FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Union Magdalena |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Envigado FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Real San Andres | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
Union Magdalena
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 12/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 04/05 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 28/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Union Magdalena win (47%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 22%, draw 31%, Union Magdalena 47%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena?
The model expects 1.97 goals (Tigres FC 0.75 · Union Magdalena 1.23), with a 52% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Union Magdalena?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.