Football · Colombia Primera B · 25/08, 02:45
Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira vs Barranquilla FC
Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira · Barranquilla FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Internacional FC de Palmira1.84
Barranquilla FC0.67
1X2
Internacional FC de Palmira
Draw
Barranquilla FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Internacional FC de Palmira
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Barranquilla FC
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Internacional FC de Palmira
4–2–0
Barranquilla FC
(6 last)
- Barranquilla FC0-4Internacional FC de Palmira
- Barranquilla FC1-4Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira3-0Barranquilla FC
- Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Barranquilla FC
- Barranquilla FC0-0Internacional FC de Palmira
- Internacional FC de Palmira1-1Barranquilla FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira 1537 · Barranquilla FC 1476
| Internacional FC de Palmira | Draw | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 24% | 12% |
| Market | 64% | 23% | 12% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.51 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Internacional FC de Palmira (rating 1537 vs 1476).
- H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Internacional FC de Palmira | Barranquilla FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 5.7 | 1.4 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira 4–2–0 Barranquilla FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 02/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 25/03/25 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 01/09/24 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Barranquilla FC |
| 15/03/24 Colombia Primera B | Barranquilla FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Internacional FC de Palmira |
| 22/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Barranquilla FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itagui Leones | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
| 2 | Real Cartagena | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Orsomarso | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | Envigado FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Bogota FC | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 11 | Real San Andres | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Barranquilla FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 14 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Internacional FC de Palmira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 03/08 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 5 | D |
| 26/07 | Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 19/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/04 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Barranquilla FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Real San Andres Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 03/08 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 13 | 5 | D |
| 27/07 | Orsomarso Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 22/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 8 | D |
| 13/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/05 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 27/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 18/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Barranquilla FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira win (64%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira 64%, draw 24%, Barranquilla FC 12%.
How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Barranquilla FC?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira 1.84 · Barranquilla FC 0.67), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Barranquilla FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.