Football · Colombia Primera B · 31/07, 23:00
Prediction: Real San Andres vs Patriotas FC
Team pages: Real San Andres · Patriotas FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Real San Andres0.95
Patriotas FC1.36
1X2
Real San Andres
Draw
Patriotas FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Real San Andres
0-0-10 (W-D-L)
Patriotas FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Real San Andres
2–1–3
Patriotas FC
(6 last)
- Patriotas FC2-0Real San Andres
- Patriotas FC2-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres1-1Patriotas FC
- Real San Andres2-1Patriotas FC
- Patriotas FC1-0Real San Andres
- Real San Andres3-2Patriotas FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Real San Andres 1362 · Patriotas FC 1500
| Real San Andres | Draw | Patriotas FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 30% | 45% |
| Market | 27% | 26% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Patriotas FC (rating 1362 vs 1500).
- H2H favours Patriotas FC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Real San Andres | Patriotas FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 2.8 | 1.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/10/80% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 4.1 | 3.3 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Real San Andres 2–1–3 Patriotas FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/26 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Real San Andres |
| 26/09/25 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real San Andres |
| 19/04/25 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 05/08/23 Colombia Primera B | Real San Andres | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Patriotas FC |
| 21/02/23 Colombia Primera B | Patriotas FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Real San Andres |
| 04/08/21 Colombia Cup | Real San Andres | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Patriotas FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Cartagena | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Patriotas FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Independiente Yumbo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Bogota FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Envigado FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Itagui Leones | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Orsomarso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Barranquilla FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Deportes Quindio | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Tigres FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 | Union Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Atletico Cali FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 | Real San Andres | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Real San Andres | Patriotas FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Cartagena | 1-5 L | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors De Cali | 0-3 L | 3-3 D |
| Itagui Leones | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Envigado FC | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Patriotas FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Real San Andres
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-3 | 1-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 12 | L |
| 16/05 | Alianza Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 12/05 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Cup |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Atletico Bucaramanga Colombia Cup |
0-3 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Bogota FC Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 13/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 08/04 | Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 31/03 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/03 | Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
Patriotas FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 3-1 | 10 | 6 | W |
| 21/05 | Llaneros Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Millonarios Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 11/05 | Atletico Cali FC Colombia Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/05 | Boyaca Chico Colombia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 14/04 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 7 | W |
| 01/04 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/03 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 21/03 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Real San Andres vs Patriotas FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Patriotas FC win (46%). Probabilities: Real San Andres 26%, draw 28%, Patriotas FC 46%.
How many goals are expected in Real San Andres vs Patriotas FC?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Real San Andres 0.95 · Patriotas FC 1.36), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Real San Andres vs Patriotas FC?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.