Football · Colombia Primera B · 09/09, 02:30

Prediction: Internacional FC de Palmira vs Atletico Cali FC

Team pages: Internacional FC de Palmira · Atletico Cali FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

Internacional FC de Palmira2.1

Atletico Cali FC0.75

1X2

68% 20% 12%

Internacional FC de Palmira Draw Atletico Cali FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Internacional FC de Palmira 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDWDLDDWLL

Atletico Cali FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLLDDLWW

Head-to-head

Internacional FC de Palmira 3–1–2 Atletico Cali FC (6 last)

Atletico Cali FC0-1Internacional FC de Palmira
Atletico Cali FC4-2Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira1-0Atletico Cali FC
Atletico Cali FC1-1Internacional FC de Palmira
Internacional FC de Palmira3-0Atletico Cali FC
Internacional FC de Palmira0-1Atletico Cali FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Internacional FC de Palmira 1458 · Atletico Cali FC 1428

	Internacional FC de Palmira	Draw	Atletico Cali FC
Our model	68%	21%	11%
Market	69%	19%	12%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Internacional FC de Palmira: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Internacional FC de Palmira	Atletico Cali FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.1	1.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/60/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	1.5 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.3	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

27.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.95

2 (+1.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Pinn 5.15
2	9.00 → 7.50▼	Pinn 9.21 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 9.4% Pinnacle margin 7.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +2’	1.30	4.75	9.00
16:09 +7’	1.30	4.75	8.00▼
18:35 +3’	1.33▲	4.75	7.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:22 +49’	1.27	5.35	9.86
18:11 +26’	1.29▲	5.22▼	9.38▼
18:44 +100’	1.29▲	5.15▼	9.21▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Internacional FC de Palmira 3–1–2 Atletico Cali FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/02/26 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
14/09/25 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	4-2 HT 3-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
07/04/25 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	1-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Cali FC
07/10/24 Colombia Primera B	Atletico Cali FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Internacional FC de Palmira
30/04/24 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	3-0 HT 0-0	Atletico Cali FC
02/09/23 Colombia Primera B	Internacional FC de Palmira	0-1 HT 0-0	Atletico Cali FC

Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Real Cartagena	7	4	1	2	15	8	13
2	Independiente Yumbo	6	4	1	1	8	2	13
3	Real Soacha Cundinamarca	7	3	2	2	11	7	11
4	Patriotas FC	6	3	2	1	10	8	11
5	Tigres FC	6	3	1	2	6	3	10
6	Real San Andres	7	2	4	1	11	12	10
7	Deportes Quindio	6	2	3	1	5	3	9
8	Orsomarso	5	2	2	1	4	2	8
9	Atletico Cali FC	6	2	2	2	9	9	8
10	Barranquilla FC	6	2	2	2	8	8	8
11	Itagui Leones	7	2	2	3	5	12	8
12	Bogota FC	7	2	1	4	4	8	7
13	Envigado FC	6	1	2	3	5	7	5
14	Boca Juniors De Cali	6	1	2	3	6	9	5
15	Internacional FC de Palmira	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
16	Union Magdalena	6	1	1	4	2	6	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Internacional FC de Palmira	Atletico Cali FC
Real San Andres	1-3 L	2-2 D
Barranquilla FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Deportes Quindio	1-1 D	1-2 L
Bogota FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Patriotas FC	1-3 L	0-2 L
Envigado FC	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Internacional FC de Palmira (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Internacional FC de Palmira

DDWDLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
29/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-3	2	4	L
25/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
08/08	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
03/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	15	5	D
26/07	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	1-3	2	6	L
19/05	Tigres FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	2	6	D
15/05	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-0	6	5	W
11/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
04/05	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Atletico Cali FC

DLLLLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B	2-0	3-0	2	9	W
29/08	Bogota FC Colombia Primera B	1-0	2-1	0	3	W
25/08	Patriotas FC Colombia Primera B	0-1	0-2	2	5	L
06/08	Real San Andres Colombia Primera B	1-2	2-2	4	7	D
03/08	Barranquilla FC Colombia Primera B	2-1	2-2	4	5	D
28/07	Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B	0-2	0-2	4	6	L
18/04	Union Magdalena Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-3	5	2	L
13/04	Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
07/04	Envigado FC Colombia Primera B	1-1	1-2	3	6	L
01/04	Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B	0-0	1-1	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Atletico Cali FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Internacional FC de Palmira win (68%). Probabilities: Internacional FC de Palmira 68%, draw 20%, Atletico Cali FC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Atletico Cali FC?

The model expects 2.85 goals (Internacional FC de Palmira 2.1 · Atletico Cali FC 0.75), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Internacional FC de Palmira vs Atletico Cali FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.