Prediction: Staphorst vs Excelsior '31
Team pages: Staphorst
See it on the live radar ↗- Excelsior '313-1Staphorst
- Staphorst1-3Excelsior '31
| Staphorst | Draw | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 24% | 30% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Excelsior '31 (rating 1437 vs 1543).
- H2H favours Excelsior '31: 2-0-0.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Staphorst | Excelsior '31 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 4.5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Staphorst 0–0–2 Excelsior '31
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie | Excelsior '31 | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Staphorst |
| 06/12/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie | Staphorst | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Excelsior '31 |
Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | ADO '20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Purmersteijn | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Hoogeveen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Harkemase Boys | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | ACV Assen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Nijkerk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 8 | Sportlust '46 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| 10 | Staphorst | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | DOVO | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 12 | SV Zwaluwen Wierden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 | HVV Hollandia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | DVS'33 Ermelo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | TEC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | USV Hercules | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | VV Scherpenzeel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | VV Eemdijk | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Staphorst | Excelsior '31 |
|---|---|---|
| ROHDA Raalte | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| HSC '21 | 4-0 W | 3-0 W |
| ADO '20 | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Sportlust '46 | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| VV Eemdijk | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Staphorst (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Staphorst
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 23/05 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | HSC '21 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | SV Huizen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 28/03 | VV Eemdijk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | Sparta Nijkerk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Excelsior '31
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | VV Eemdijk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Urk Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | TEC Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Harkemase Boys Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | USV Hercules Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 28/03 | Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 21/03 | HSC '21 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 14/03 | ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Staphorst vs Excelsior '31?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Staphorst win (46%). Probabilities: Staphorst 46%, draw 24%, Excelsior '31 29%.
How many goals are expected in Staphorst vs Excelsior '31?
The model expects 3.48 goals (Staphorst 1.95 · Excelsior '31 1.53), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Staphorst vs Excelsior '31?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.