Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 30/08, 14:30

Prediction: VV Goes vs Rijnvogels

Team pages: VV Goes · Rijnvogels

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.07Total

VV Goes1.28

Rijnvogels1.79

1X2

27% 24% 49%

VV Goes Draw Rijnvogels

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

VV Goes 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDWLLDWD

Rijnvogels 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDWWDLDD

Head-to-head

VV Goes 0–2 Rijnvogels (2 last)

VV Goes1-2Rijnvogels
Rijnvogels3-0VV Goes

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VV Goes 1472 · Rijnvogels 1509

	VV Goes	Draw	Rijnvogels
Our model	26%	25%	48%
Market	28%	22%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Rijnvogels: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VV Goes	Rijnvogels
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.5 / 0
Half-time result (W/D/L)	22/44/33%	38/63/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 3	2.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.25

X4.00

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:10 +10’	3.25	4.00	1.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VV Goes 0–0–2 Rijnvogels

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/04/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Goes	1-2	Rijnvogels
16/08/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Rijnvogels	3-0 HT 1-0	VV Goes

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Noordwijk	2	2	0	0	6	0	6
2	VV Dongen	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
3	FC Lisse	2	2	0	0	5	1	6
4	Excelsior Maassluis	2	1	1	0	4	2	4
5	RKSV UDI '19	2	1	1	0	3	1	4
6	VV Goes	2	1	1	0	5	4	4
7	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
7	SV Poortugaal	2	1	0	1	3	2	3
9	VVSB	2	1	0	1	1	2	3
10	VV Gemert	2	0	2	0	4	4	2
11	Rijnvogels	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
11	VV UNA	2	0	2	0	2	2	2
13	TOGB	2	0	1	1	2	4	1
14	Blauw Geel '38	2	0	1	1	0	2	1
15	Zwaluwen	2	0	1	1	1	5	1
16	EVV Echt	2	0	0	2	4	6	0
17	Groene Ster	2	0	0	2	2	6	0
18	Achilles Veen	2	0	0	2	1	8	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VV Goes	Rijnvogels
VV Gemert	2-2 D	2-2 D
VVSB	0-1 L	0-3 L
Meerssen	3-4 L	1-1 D
RKSV UDI '19	4-0 W	3-0 W
FC Lisse	1-1 D	4-1 W
Blauw Geel '38	0-4 L	0-0 D
ASWH	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Rijnvogels (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VV Goes

LLLDWLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	EVV Echt Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
23/05	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-3	–	–	D
16/05	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/05	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	3-4	–	–	L
25/04	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
19/04	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/04	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
02/04	Rijnvogels Netherlands Derde Divisie	–	1-2	–	–	L
28/03	ASWH Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Rijnvogels

LWDDWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
15/08	VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
23/05	VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	Meerssen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-1	4	2	D
09/05	RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
25/04	FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
18/04	Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
11/04	ASWH Netherlands Derde Divisie	–	2-2	–	–	D
02/04	VV Goes Netherlands Derde Divisie	–	2-1	–	–	W
28/03	TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VV Goes vs Rijnvogels?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Rijnvogels win (49%). Probabilities: VV Goes 27%, draw 24%, Rijnvogels 49%.

How many goals are expected in VV Goes vs Rijnvogels?

The model expects 3.07 goals (VV Goes 1.28 · Rijnvogels 1.79), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in VV Goes vs Rijnvogels?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.