Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 26/09, 14:30

Prediction: Harkemase Boys vs VV Scherpenzeel

Team pages: Harkemase Boys · VV Scherpenzeel

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.38Total

Harkemase Boys1.8

VV Scherpenzeel1.58

1X2

42% 25% 33%

Harkemase Boys Draw VV Scherpenzeel

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Harkemase Boys 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWLWWWWWDW

VV Scherpenzeel 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Harkemase Boys 1–1 VV Scherpenzeel (2 last)

VV Scherpenzeel2-1Harkemase Boys
Harkemase Boys3-1VV Scherpenzeel

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Harkemase Boys	VV Scherpenzeel
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.8	4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0.4	5 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.83

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:00

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Pinn 1.95
X	3.44 → 3.44	Pinn 3.44
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
03:41 +19’	1.95	3.44	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Harkemase Boys 1–0–1 VV Scherpenzeel

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/01/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie	VV Scherpenzeel	2-1 HT 1-0	Harkemase Boys
06/09/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie	Harkemase Boys	3-1 HT 0-1	VV Scherpenzeel

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ACV Assen	6	5	1	0	15	4	16
2	Harkemase Boys	6	5	1	0	13	7	16
3	Genemuiden	6	5	0	1	14	4	15
4	VV Scherpenzeel	6	5	0	1	11	7	15
5	Excelsior '31	6	4	1	1	16	6	13
6	Sportlust '46	6	3	3	0	14	9	12
7	Purmersteijn	6	3	2	1	11	7	11
8	TEC	6	3	1	2	17	14	10
9	Sparta Nijkerk	6	2	2	2	17	14	8
10	Hoogeveen	6	2	1	3	12	13	7
11	ADO '20	6	2	1	3	11	12	7
12	DVS'33 Ermelo	6	1	2	3	9	12	5
13	DOVO	6	1	2	3	8	13	5
14	Staphorst	6	0	3	3	8	12	3
15	USV Hercules	6	1	0	5	8	20	3
16	VV Eemdijk	6	1	0	5	7	19	3
17	HVV Hollandia	6	0	1	5	13	20	1
18	SV Zwaluwen Wierden	6	0	1	5	9	20	1

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Harkemase Boys

LWLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Zwaluwen Wierden Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Staphorst Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	1-1	11	0	D
05/09	VV Eemdijk Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
29/08	USV Hercules Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-2	5-3	6	3	W
22/08	DVS'33 Ermelo Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
15/08	HVV Hollandia Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
23/05	Sportlust '46 Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-1	4-1	5	2	W
16/05	USV Hercules Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	0-4	2	0	L
09/05	ROHDA Raalte Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	Urk Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-3	2-3	10	4	L

VV Scherpenzeel

WWLDLWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
13/09	ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
05/09	Excelsior '31 Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
29/08	DOVO Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
22/08	Hoogeveen Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Purmersteijn Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
23/05	HSC '21 Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-1	4-4	–	–	D
16/05	ADO '20 Netherlands Derde Divisie	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
09/05	Genemuiden Netherlands Derde Divisie	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
25/04	SV Huizen Netherlands Derde Divisie	2-0	4-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Harkemase Boys vs VV Scherpenzeel?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Harkemase Boys win (42%). Probabilities: Harkemase Boys 42%, draw 25%, VV Scherpenzeel 33%.

How many goals are expected in Harkemase Boys vs VV Scherpenzeel?

The model expects 3.38 goals (Harkemase Boys 1.8 · VV Scherpenzeel 1.58), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Harkemase Boys vs VV Scherpenzeel?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.