Prediction: Staphorst vs TEC

Team pages: Staphorst · TEC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Staphorst1.76
TEC2.12
1X2
32% 22% 46%
Staphorst Draw TEC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Staphorst 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLWDLDLDLL
TEC 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WDWLWLWDWW
Head-to-head
Staphorst 2–0 TEC (2 last)
  • TEC1-2Staphorst
  • Staphorst3-1TEC
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Staphorst 1439 · TEC 1556
StaphorstDrawTEC
Our model32%22%46%
Market32%22%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TEC (rating 1439 vs 1556).
  • H2H favours Staphorst: 2-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

StaphorstTEC
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.92.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 11.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/40/30%70/30/0%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 4.52.7 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)0.5 / 02.7 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Staphorst 2–0–0 TEC

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Netherlands Derde Divisie
TEC1-2
HT 1-0
Staphorst
30/08/25
Netherlands Derde Divisie
Staphorst3-1
HT 0-1
TEC

Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group A

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 ACV Assen 7610 19419
2 Genemuiden 7601 16418
3 Harkemase Boys 7520 13717
4 Excelsior '31 7511 19616
5 VV Scherpenzeel 7511 11716
6 Sportlust '46 7430 161015
7 TEC 7412 241613
8 Sparta Nijkerk 7322 201611
9 Purmersteijn 7322 11911
10 Hoogeveen 7313 171410
11 ADO '20 7214 12177
12 USV Hercules 7205 11206
13 DVS'33 Ermelo 7124 10145
14 DOVO 7124 8165
15 Staphorst 7034 10153
16 VV Eemdijk 7106 9263
17 HVV Hollandia 7016 13231
18 SV Zwaluwen Wierden 7016 9241

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentStaphorstTEC
Sparta Nijkerk 2-3 L 3-1 W
ACV Assen 2-3 L 0-1 L
ROHDA Raalte 2-1 W 1-0 W
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 2 L 2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TEC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Staphorst

WLWDLDLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 Sparta Nijkerk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-2 2-3 –– L
19/09 ACV Assen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-3 2-3 –– L
12/09 Harkemase Boys
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-1 1-1 60 D
05/09 Genemuiden
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 1-2 –– L
29/08 ADO '20
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-0 –– D
22/08 Excelsior '31
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-2 2-4 31 L
15/08 DOVO
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-1 2-2 –– D
23/05 ROHDA Raalte
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 2-1 –– W
16/05 Excelsior '31
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-1 1-3 –– L
09/05 HSC '21
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 4-0 –– W

TEC

WDWLWLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/09 VV Eemdijk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
4-1 7-2 –– W
20/09 USV Hercules
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-1 4-2 73 W
12/09 DVS'33 Ermelo
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-0 4-4 –– D
06/09 HVV Hollandia
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-1 5-4 –– W
29/08 Sportlust '46
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 1-2 –– L
22/08 Sparta Nijkerk
Netherlands Derde Divisie
2-0 3-1 –– W
15/08 ACV Assen
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-1 42 L
07/06 RKSV Neo
Netherlands Derde Divisie
3-0 3-0 33 W
23/05 USV Hercules
Netherlands Derde Divisie
0-0 0-0 –– D
16/05 ROHDA Raalte
Netherlands Derde Divisie
1-0 1-0 –– W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Staphorst vs TEC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TEC win (46%). Probabilities: Staphorst 32%, draw 22%, TEC 46%.

How many goals are expected in Staphorst vs TEC?

The model expects 3.88 goals (Staphorst 1.76 · TEC 2.12), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Staphorst vs TEC?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.