Football · Netherlands Derde Divisie · 26/09, 14:30
Prediction: Noordwijk vs Zwaluwen
Team pages: Noordwijk · Zwaluwen
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Noordwijk1.86
Zwaluwen0.9
1X2
Noordwijk
Draw
Zwaluwen
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Noordwijk
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Zwaluwen
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Noordwijk
1–1
Zwaluwen
(2 last)
- Noordwijk1-0Zwaluwen
- Zwaluwen2-1Noordwijk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Noordwijk (rating 1590 vs 1501).
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Noordwijk | Zwaluwen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 4.3 / 7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1 / 0 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Noordwijk 1–0–1 Zwaluwen
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Netherlands Derde Divisie | Noordwijk | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Zwaluwen |
| 08/11/25 Netherlands Derde Divisie | Zwaluwen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Noordwijk |
Standings · Netherlands Derde Divisie · Derde Divisie 26/27, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noordwijk | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Lisse | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 15 |
| 3 | Rijnvogels | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Excelsior Maassluis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | RKSV UDI '19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | VV Goes | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 7 | SV Poortugaal | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | VV Dongen | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 9 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel '38 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | VV Gemert | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 7 |
| 11 | VVSB | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 7 |
| 12 | Zwaluwen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | VV UNA | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 6 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 15 | Roosendaal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 |
| 16 | Achilles Veen | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 3 |
| 17 | TOGB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 2 |
| 18 | EVV Echt | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Noordwijk | Zwaluwen |
|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Blauw Geel '38 | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Kloetinge | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Noordwijk (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Noordwijk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | VVSB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Excelsior Maassluis Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 29/08 | Roosendaal Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/08 | Achilles Veen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Kloetinge Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | SteDoco Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 25/04 | VV Gemert Netherlands Derde Divisie |
2-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Zwaluwen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09 | FC Lisse Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Groene Ster Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | RKSV UDI '19 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | SV Poortugaal Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/08 | VV UNA Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | VV Dongen Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 0-4 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Blauw Geel '38 Netherlands Derde Divisie |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | ASWH Netherlands Derde Divisie |
3-0 | 6-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | TOGB Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Kloetinge Netherlands Derde Divisie |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Noordwijk vs Zwaluwen?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Noordwijk win (59%). Probabilities: Noordwijk 59%, draw 24%, Zwaluwen 17%.
How many goals are expected in Noordwijk vs Zwaluwen?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Noordwijk 1.86 · Zwaluwen 0.9), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Noordwijk vs Zwaluwen?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.