Football · Austria Landesliga · 08/11, 14:00

Prediction: TSV Neumarkt vs USV 1960 Berndorf

Team pages: TSV Neumarkt · USV 1960 Berndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

TSV Neumarkt2.2

USV 1960 Berndorf2.02

1X2

43% 21% 36%

TSV Neumarkt Draw USV 1960 Berndorf

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Neumarkt 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDDWLW

USV 1960 Berndorf 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

TSV Neumarkt 1–0 USV 1960 Berndorf (1 last)

USV 1960 Berndorf1-2TSV Neumarkt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TSV Neumarkt 1487 · USV 1960 Berndorf 1458

	TSV Neumarkt	Draw	USV 1960 Berndorf
Our model	43%	21%	36%
Market	43%	21%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSV Neumarkt	USV 1960 Berndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.9	1.7 / 2.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1	0.6 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	1 / 1.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.2	1.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.20

22.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 1.1 · xG: 4.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +39’	2.10	4.20	2.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Neumarkt 1–0–0 USV 1960 Berndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/09/16 Austria Landesliga	USV 1960 Berndorf	1-2 HT 0-2	TSV Neumarkt

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
11	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Neumarkt	USV 1960 Berndorf
Seekirchen II	2-1 W	0-4 L
Puch	2-4 L	1-5 L
SV Schwarzach	3-1 W	2-3 L
TSU Bramberg	3-3 D	5-1 W
SC Golling	1-7 L	3-5 L
ATSV Salzburg	0-1 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 0 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Neumarkt

LLLWLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	3	2	W
25/10	Puch Austria Landesliga	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
16/10	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-3	8	5	D
02/10	Union Henndorf Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-4	–	–	D
25/09	USC Eugendorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-4	–	–	L
18/09	UFV Thalgau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	5	4	W
13/09	Salzburger AK Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-3	3	8	L
05/09	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-7	1	4	L
30/08	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

USV 1960 Berndorf

WLLLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ATSV Salzburg Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
25/10	USK Anif Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/10	SV Burmoos Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
09/10	SV Strasswalchen Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-4	0	1	L
02/10	UFC Siezenheim Austria Landesliga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	SC Golling Austria Landesliga	2-4	3-5	–	–	L
19/09	Seekirchen II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
11/09	Puch Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-5	3	2	L
04/09	SV Schwarzach Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
28/08	TSU Bramberg Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Neumarkt vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TSV Neumarkt win (43%). Probabilities: TSV Neumarkt 43%, draw 21%, USV 1960 Berndorf 36%.

How many goals are expected in TSV Neumarkt vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

The model expects 4.22 goals (TSV Neumarkt 2.2 · USV 1960 Berndorf 2.02), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TSV Neumarkt vs USV 1960 Berndorf?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.