Football · Austria Landesliga · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ebreichsdorf

Team pages: ASV Hohenau · ASK Ebreichsdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

ASV Hohenau1.76

ASK Ebreichsdorf1.7

1X2

40% 23% 37%

ASV Hohenau Draw ASK Ebreichsdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

ASV Hohenau 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWDWWWL

ASK Ebreichsdorf 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWDWDWWWWL

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ASV Hohenau 1538 · ASK Ebreichsdorf 1555

	ASV Hohenau	Draw	ASK Ebreichsdorf
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ASV Hohenau	ASK Ebreichsdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.1	2.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	3 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	3 / 1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.72 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +22’	2.25	4.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:19 +8’	2.76	3.67	2.07
11:08 +51’	2.72▼	3.67	2.09▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Austria Landesliga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
9	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
10	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
11	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ASV Hohenau	ASK Ebreichsdorf
SG Ardagger/Neustadtl	3-1 W	0-3 L
Langenrohr	1-1 D	1-0 W
SC Wieselburg	2-1 W	2-1 W
SC Zwettl	0-1 L	5-0 W
SCU Kilb	1-0 W	3-1 W
St. Peter/Au	3-1 W	2-2 D
SC Retz	1-3 L	4-2 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASK Ebreichsdorf (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ASV Hohenau

LWWLWDWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	St Polten II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
24/10	ASK Ybbs Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-0	4	2	W
17/10	SKU Amstetten II Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	4	6	W
09/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
02/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/09	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
11/09	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
05/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
29/08	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L

ASK Ebreichsdorf

DWDWDWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SG Ardagger/Neustadtl Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
23/10	Langenrohr Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
16/10	SC Wieselburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/10	SC Zwettl Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
02/10	SCU Kilb Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
25/09	St. Peter/Au Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
18/09	SC Retz Austria Landesliga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
12/09	Wiener Neustadt Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	6	4	D
04/09	Admira Wacker Modling II Austria Landesliga	5-1	7-5	–	–	W
28/08	SK Korneuburg Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-3	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a ASV Hohenau win (40%). Probabilities: ASV Hohenau 40%, draw 23%, ASK Ebreichsdorf 37%.

How many goals are expected in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

The model expects 3.46 goals (ASV Hohenau 1.76 · ASK Ebreichsdorf 1.7), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in ASV Hohenau vs ASK Ebreichsdorf?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.