Football · Austria Landesliga · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SC Bruck an der Mur

Team pages: TUS Bad Waltersdorf · SC Bruck an der Mur

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

TUS Bad Waltersdorf1.86

SC Bruck an der Mur1.57

1X2

44% 24% 32%

TUS Bad Waltersdorf Draw SC Bruck an der Mur

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWLLWW

SC Bruck an der Mur 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLDLLLW

Head-to-head

TUS Bad Waltersdorf 0–2 SC Bruck an der Mur (2 last)

TUS Bad Waltersdorf1-3SC Bruck an der Mur
SC Bruck an der Mur3-2TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1461 · SC Bruck an der Mur 1478

	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	Draw	SC Bruck an der Mur
Our model	44%	24%	32%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SC Bruck an der Mur: 2-0-0.
High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	SC Bruck an der Mur
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2	1.4 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 7.5	3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.5	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.75

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:00 +6’	2.05	3.75	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TUS Bad Waltersdorf 0–0–2 SC Bruck an der Mur

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Austria Landesliga	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	1-3 HT 1-0	SC Bruck an der Mur
19/09/25 Austria Landesliga	SC Bruck an der Mur	3-2 HT 1-0	TUS Bad Waltersdorf

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TUS Bad Waltersdorf	SC Bruck an der Mur
ASK Koflach	1-0 W	0-3 L
USV Gnas	1-0 W	0-2 L
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	0-1 L	1-1 D
SV Wildon	2-5 L	0-5 L
Leoben DSV	5-2 W	2-1 W
FC Schladming	0-1 L	3-3 D
St. Anna am Aigen	2-2 D	1-2 L
UFC Fehring	1-2 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: TUS Bad Waltersdorf (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TUS Bad Waltersdorf

LLLDLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/10	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
17/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
13/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-3	2-5	13	0	L
09/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	3-1	5-2	–	–	W
02/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	8	4	L
25/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	2	9	D
20/09	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	7	4	L
15/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-3	–	–	L
11/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L

SC Bruck an der Mur

WLDWLDLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
24/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
13/10	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
09/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
02/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-5	–	–	L
25/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
15/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SC Bruck an der Mur?

According to our model, the most likely result is a TUS Bad Waltersdorf win (44%). Probabilities: TUS Bad Waltersdorf 44%, draw 24%, SC Bruck an der Mur 32%.

How many goals are expected in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SC Bruck an der Mur?

The model expects 3.43 goals (TUS Bad Waltersdorf 1.86 · SC Bruck an der Mur 1.57), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in TUS Bad Waltersdorf vs SC Bruck an der Mur?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.