Football · Austria Landesliga · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: SV Pachern vs ASK Koflach

Team pages: SV Pachern · ASK Koflach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.14Total

SV Pachern1.34

ASK Koflach1.81

1X2

28% 23% 48%

SV Pachern Draw ASK Koflach

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Pachern 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWWDLDWLLL

ASK Koflach 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDWWLWWL

Head-to-head

SV Pachern 0–1–1 ASK Koflach (2 last)

SV Pachern0-2ASK Koflach
ASK Koflach0-0SV Pachern

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Pachern 1474 · ASK Koflach 1547

	SV Pachern	Draw	ASK Koflach
Our model	27%	25%	47%
Market	29%	22%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours ASK Koflach (rating 1474 vs 1547).
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Pachern	ASK Koflach
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.5	2.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.9	5 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X4.10

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.88

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:03 +3’	3.10	4.10	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Pachern 0–1–1 ASK Koflach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Pachern	0-2 HT 0-0	ASK Koflach
12/09/25 Austria Landesliga	ASK Koflach	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Pachern

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Pachern	ASK Koflach
USV Gnas	1-2 L	2-0 W
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	0-3 L	3-2 W
SV Wildon	1-2 L	1-1 D
Leoben DSV	4-2 W	6-0 W
FC Schladming	0-0 D	4-0 W
St. Anna am Aigen	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: ASK Koflach (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Pachern

WWWDLDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	6	6	L
23/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
16/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	4	8	L
13/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	4-2	5	5	W
09/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L
25/09	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
18/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
15/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	3	10	W
11/09	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	3	4	W

ASK Koflach

LWWDWWLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
24/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
17/10	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
13/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
09/10	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-2	–	–	W
26/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
20/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	4-0	6-0	–	–	W
15/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
11/09	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Pachern vs ASK Koflach?

According to our model, the most likely result is an ASK Koflach win (48%). Probabilities: SV Pachern 28%, draw 23%, ASK Koflach 48%.

How many goals are expected in SV Pachern vs ASK Koflach?

The model expects 3.14 goals (SV Pachern 1.34 · ASK Koflach 1.81), with a 56% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Pachern vs ASK Koflach?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.