Football · Austria Landesliga · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: SV Lebring vs USV Gnas

Team pages: SV Lebring · USV Gnas

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

SV Lebring1.58

USV Gnas1.46

1X2

41% 24% 35%

SV Lebring Draw USV Gnas

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Lebring 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDWWLW

USV Gnas 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLWWLW

Head-to-head

SV Lebring 3–3 USV Gnas (6 last)

USV Gnas2-0SV Lebring
SV Lebring3-0USV Gnas
USV Gnas2-1SV Lebring
USV Gnas1-3SV Lebring
SV Lebring3-1USV Gnas
USV Gnas3-1SV Lebring

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Lebring 1492 · USV Gnas 1521

	SV Lebring	Draw	USV Gnas
Our model	39%	26%	34%
Market	41%	22%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Lebring	USV Gnas
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.4	1.7 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	3.8 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.80

Under 3.252.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:51 +22’	2.15	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Lebring 3–0–3 USV Gnas

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/26 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	2-0 HT 0-0	SV Lebring
03/10/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	3-0 HT 1-0	USV Gnas
09/07/24 Club Friendly List	USV Gnas	2-1 HT 0-1	SV Lebring
08/03/24 Austria Landesliga	USV Gnas	1-3 HT 1-0	SV Lebring
07/08/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Lebring	3-1 HT 1-1	USV Gnas
18/03/22 Europe Friendlies	USV Gnas	3-1 HT 1-1	SV Lebring

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Lebring	USV Gnas
SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz	2-1 W	0-1 L
SV Wildon	1-3 L	1-1 D
Leoben DSV	8-2 W	5-0 W
FC Schladming	4-0 W	2-1 W
SC Fürstenfeld	1-2 L	2-3 L
SV Pachern	0-1 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Lebring (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Lebring

LLDLWDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-1	7	3	W
23/10	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-3	6	5	L
16/10	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	1-1	8-2	–	–	W
13/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-0	3	2	W
09/10	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
02/10	UFC Fehring Austria Landesliga	1-0	4-1	–	–	W
25/09	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
15/09	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-2	9	4	L
11/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

USV Gnas

WWDLLLWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
23/10	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	7	4	W
13/10	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
09/10	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
02/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
25/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
18/09	SV Wildon Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
15/09	Leoben DSV Austria Landesliga	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
11/09	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Lebring vs USV Gnas?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Lebring win (41%). Probabilities: SV Lebring 41%, draw 24%, USV Gnas 35%.

How many goals are expected in SV Lebring vs USV Gnas?

The model expects 3.04 goals (SV Lebring 1.58 · USV Gnas 1.46), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Lebring vs USV Gnas?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.