Football · Austria Landesliga · 06/11, 19:00

Prediction: UFC Fehring vs Leoben DSV

Team pages: UFC Fehring · Leoben DSV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.26Total

UFC Fehring2.8

Leoben DSV1.46

1X2

64% 19% 17%

UFC Fehring Draw Leoben DSV

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

UFC Fehring 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LWWDLWDLWW

Leoben DSV 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLLW

Head-to-head

UFC Fehring 2–0 Leoben DSV (2 last)

Leoben DSV3-5UFC Fehring
UFC Fehring3-1Leoben DSV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · UFC Fehring 1540 · Leoben DSV 1382

	UFC Fehring	Draw	Leoben DSV
Our model	65%	18%	17%
Market	64%	20%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 4.26 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UFC Fehring (rating 1540 vs 1382).
H2H favours UFC Fehring: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	UFC Fehring	Leoben DSV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.5 / 4.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 2.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	0.5 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.3	4.5 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.40

X4.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.85

2 (+1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 1.2 · xG: 4.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
12:01 +7’	1.40	4.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · UFC Fehring 2–0–0 Leoben DSV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/03/26 Austria Landesliga	Leoben DSV	3-5 HT 2-2	UFC Fehring
22/08/25 Austria Landesliga	UFC Fehring	3-1 HT 2-0	Leoben DSV

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	11	8	3	0	29	7	27
2	Red Star Penzing	11	8	1	2	24	15	25
3	LAC Inter	11	8	1	2	23	15	25
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	11	7	1	3	23	14	22
5	TWL Elektra	11	7	1	3	24	19	22
6	Helfort 15	11	5	4	2	17	8	19
7	WAF Brigittenau	11	4	2	5	16	18	14
8	FV Austria XIII	11	3	4	4	16	15	13
9	First Vienna II	11	4	1	6	21	22	13
10	Slovan HAC	11	3	4	4	14	18	13
11	SV Schwechat	11	4	0	7	17	19	12
12	FC 1980 Wien	11	3	3	5	15	27	12
13	Hellas Kagran	11	2	3	6	16	21	9
14	Simmeringer SC	11	3	0	8	9	29	9
15	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	11	1	4	6	11	23	7
16	Post SV	11	1	2	8	19	24	5

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	UFC Fehring	Leoben DSV
FC Kindberg-Murzhofen	3-3 D	3-2 W
Ilzer SV	3-2 W	1-5 L
SV Lebring	1-4 L	2-8 L
SV Pachern	1-1 D	2-4 L
TUS Bad Waltersdorf	2-1 W	2-5 L
Grossklein	2-0 W	2-3 L
SC Bruck an der Mur	1-3 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: UFC Fehring (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

UFC Fehring

LWWDLWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Schladming Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
23/10	St. Anna am Aigen Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
18/10	SC Fürstenfeld Austria Landesliga	1-4	2-5	11	5	L
13/10	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
09/10	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	5	8	W
02/10	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
25/09	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	6	6	D
20/09	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
15/09	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	3	7	W
11/09	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-3	–	–	L

Leoben DSV

LLLLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	FC Kindberg-Murzhofen Austria Landesliga	2-2	3-2	–	–	W
23/10	Ilzer SV Austria Landesliga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L
16/10	SV Lebring Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-8	–	–	L
13/10	SV Pachern Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-4	2	5	L
09/10	TUS Bad Waltersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-3	2-5	–	–	L
03/10	Grossklein Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-3	4	5	L
25/09	SC Bruck an der Mur Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
20/09	ASK Koflach Austria Landesliga	0-4	0-6	–	–	L
15/09	USV Gnas Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-5	–	–	L
11/09	SV Rohrbach An Der Lafnitz Austria Landesliga	2-2	2-6	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in UFC Fehring vs Leoben DSV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a UFC Fehring win (64%). Probabilities: UFC Fehring 64%, draw 19%, Leoben DSV 17%.

How many goals are expected in UFC Fehring vs Leoben DSV?

The model expects 4.26 goals (UFC Fehring 2.8 · Leoben DSV 1.46), with a 53% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in UFC Fehring vs Leoben DSV?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.