Football · Ukraine Persha Liga · 17/10, 10:30
Prediction: Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs FC Metalist Kharkiv
Team pages: Ahrobiznes Volochysk · FC Metalist Kharkiv
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
Ahrobiznes Volochysk1.41
FC Metalist Kharkiv0.82
1X2
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Draw
FC Metalist Kharkiv
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
FC Metalist Kharkiv
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
6–0
FC Metalist Kharkiv
(6 last)
- FC Metalist Kharkiv0-1Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk1-0FC Metalist Kharkiv
- FC Metalist Kharkiv0-1Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk2-1FC Metalist Kharkiv
- FC Metalist Kharkiv1-2Ahrobiznes Volochysk
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk3-1FC Metalist Kharkiv
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1569 · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1526
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | Draw | FC Metalist Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 30% | 21% |
| Market | 50% | 30% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.23 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk (rating 1569 vs 1526).
- H2H favours Ahrobiznes Volochysk: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ahrobiznes Volochysk | FC Metalist Kharkiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5 | 1.8 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ahrobiznes Volochysk 6–0–0 FC Metalist Kharkiv
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/11/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
| 16/08/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
| 04/10/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
| 07/08/24 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 2-1 HT 0-1 | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
| 06/10/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk |
| 06/08/23 Ukraine Persha Liga | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 3-1 HT 1-1 | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 13 | 20 |
| 3 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 20 |
| 4 | PFC Oleksandria | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | SC Poltava | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 10 | 18 |
| 6 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 16 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
| 11 | Ingulets Petrovo | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 12 |
| 13 | UCSA | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 29 | 8 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Ingulets Petrovo | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| UCSA | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| PFC Oleksandria | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Probiy Horodenka | 6-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ahrobiznes Volochysk (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 27/09 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
2-0 | 6-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 30/08 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 14/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 08/08 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/07 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
FC Metalist Kharkiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
3-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ahrobiznes Volochysk win (50%). Probabilities: Ahrobiznes Volochysk 50%, draw 30%, FC Metalist Kharkiv 21%.
How many goals are expected in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?
The model expects 2.23 goals (Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1.41 · FC Metalist Kharkiv 0.82), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Ahrobiznes Volochysk vs FC Metalist Kharkiv?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.