Prediction: FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol
Team pages: FC Metalist Kharkiv · FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FC Metalist Kharkiv1-1FSC Feniks-Mariupol
- FSC Feniks-Mariupol0-1FC Metalist Kharkiv
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | Draw | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 32% | 40% |
| Market | 29% | 30% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FSC Feniks-Mariupol (rating 1511 vs 1562).
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Metalist Kharkiv | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.1 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 50/10/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.6 | 1.6 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Metalist Kharkiv 1–1–0 FSC Feniks-Mariupol
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Ukraine Persha Liga | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 1-1 HT 0-0 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
| 09/10/25 Ukraine Persha Liga | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FC Metalist Kharkiv |
Standings · Ukraine Persha Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Viktoriya Sumy | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 24 |
| 2 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 23 |
| 3 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 21 |
| 4 | SC Poltava | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | FSC Feniks-Mariupol | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | PFC Oleksandria | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Lokomotiv Kyiv | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 8 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| 9 | FC Metalist Kharkiv | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
| 10 | Nyva Ternopil | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 15 |
| 11 | Ingulets Petrovo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 14 |
| 12 | Kolos Kovalivka II | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 13 |
| 13 | UCSA | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 19 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Chernigiv | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
| 15 | FC Probiy Horodenka | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 9 |
| 16 | Polissya Zhytomyr II | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 8 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Metalist Kharkiv | FSC Feniks-Mariupol |
|---|---|---|
| SC Poltava | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Ingulets Petrovo | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| UCSA | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Nyva Ternopil | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| PFC Oleksandria | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Polissya Zhytomyr II | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FSC Feniks-Mariupol (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Metalist Kharkiv
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/10 | FC Viktoriya Sumy Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | Prykarpattya Ivano Frankivsk Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | FC Chernigiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/09 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/09 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 15/08 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/08 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FSC Feniks-Mariupol
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ingulets Petrovo Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | UCSA Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 05/10 | Nyva Ternopil Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/09 | PFC Oleksandria Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 20/09 | Polissya Zhytomyr II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | FC Probiy Horodenka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Kulykiv-Bilka Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 28/08 | Lokomotiv Kyiv Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Kolos Kovalivka II Ukraine Persha Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/08 | SC Poltava Ukraine Persha Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FSC Feniks-Mariupol win (41%). Probabilities: FC Metalist Kharkiv 29%, draw 31%, FSC Feniks-Mariupol 41%.
How many goals are expected in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
The model expects 2.16 goals (FC Metalist Kharkiv 0.96 · FSC Feniks-Mariupol 1.2), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Metalist Kharkiv vs FSC Feniks-Mariupol?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.