Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 15/07, 11:30
Prediction: Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Macarthur Rams (W)1.41
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)1.96
1X2
Macarthur Rams (W)
Draw
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Macarthur Rams (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Macarthur Rams (W)
1–1–1
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
(3 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macarthur Rams (W) 1489 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1492
| Macarthur Rams (W) | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 27% | 23% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macarthur Rams (W) | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.1 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/20/70% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.5 / 0.1 | 0.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macarthur Rams (W) 1–1–1 Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Macarthur Rams (W) |
| 20/07/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 4-5 HT 3-2 | Macarthur Rams (W) |
| 21/04/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women | Macarthur Rams (W) | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) |
Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulls FC Academy (W) | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 52 | 17 | 46 |
| 2 | University NSW (W) | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 39 | 13 | 44 |
| 3 | APIA Leichardt (W) | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 51 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 37 |
| 5 | Sydney University (W) | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 41 | 35 | 28 |
| 6 | Northern Tigers FC (W) | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 27 |
| 7 | Manly Utd (W) | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 32 | 35 | 21 |
| 9 | Gladesville Ravens (W) | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 33 | 21 |
| 10 | Macarthur Rams (W) | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 21 |
| 11 | Hills United FC (W) | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 20 |
| 12 | NWS Spirit (W) | 19 | 5 | 1 | 13 | 26 | 70 | 16 |
| 13 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 32 | 14 |
| 14 | Western City Rangers (W) | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 54 | 8 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macarthur Rams (W) | Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) |
|---|---|---|
| NWS Spirit (W) | 2-4 L | 5-0 W |
| Hills United FC (W) | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| APIA Leichardt (W) | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Manly Utd (W) | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Illawarra Stingrays (W) | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Northern Tigers FC (W) | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| University NSW (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Gladesville Ravens (W) | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 4 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macarthur Rams (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/07 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 21/06 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | D |
| 31/05 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 05/07 | Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 21/06 | Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 14/06 | University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 27/05 | Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | APIA Leichardt (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women |
2-0 | 5-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) win (50%). Probabilities: Macarthur Rams (W) 27%, draw 23%, Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 50%.
How many goals are expected in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Macarthur Rams (W) 1.41 · Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) 1.96), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Macarthur Rams (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.