Football · Australia New South Wales NPL Women · 25/07, 09:00

Prediction: University NSW (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

University NSW (W)1.62

APIA Leichardt (W)1.31

1X2

44% 25% 31%

University NSW (W) Draw APIA Leichardt (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

University NSW (W) 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DWWWWLDDWD

APIA Leichardt (W) 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWWL

Head-to-head

University NSW (W) 3–1–2 APIA Leichardt (W) (6 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · University NSW (W) 1571 · APIA Leichardt (W) 1545

	University NSW (W)	Draw	APIA Leichardt (W)
Our model	44%	27%	30%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours University NSW (W): 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	University NSW (W)	APIA Leichardt (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.6	2.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 5.2	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	1.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.80

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.752.02

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +1’	2.00	3.80	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · University NSW (W) 3–1–2 APIA Leichardt (W)

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
21/05/26 Australia New South Wales Cup Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	0-1 HT 0-1	University NSW (W)
26/04/26 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	University NSW (W)
07/09/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-0 HT 1-0	University NSW (W)
22/06/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	APIA Leichardt (W)
23/03/25 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	APIA Leichardt (W)	2-1 HT 1-1	University NSW (W)
11/08/24 Australia New South Wales NPL Women	University NSW (W)	3-2 HT 2-1	APIA Leichardt (W)

Standings · Australia New South Wales NPL Women

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bulls FC Academy (W)	20	15	4	1	57	20	49
2	University NSW (W)	20	13	6	1	41	15	45
3	APIA Leichardt (W)	20	14	1	5	52	26	43
4	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	20	11	4	5	37	26	37
5	Northern Tigers FC (W)	20	9	3	8	34	27	30
6	Manly Utd (W)	20	7	8	5	32	25	29
7	Sydney University (W)	20	8	5	7	43	37	29
8	Macarthur Rams (W)	20	7	4	9	29	35	25
9	Sydney Olympic FC (W)	20	7	3	10	34	36	24
10	Gladesville Ravens (W)	20	6	4	10	28	35	22
11	Hills United FC (W)	20	6	2	12	23	30	20
12	NWS Spirit (W)	20	5	2	13	27	71	17
13	Illawarra Stingrays (W)	20	3	6	11	17	33	15
14	Western City Rangers (W)	20	2	2	16	19	57	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	University NSW (W)	APIA Leichardt (W)
Manly Utd (W)	1-0 W	2-1 W
Sydney Olympic FC (W)	0-0 D	1-2 L
Northern Tigers FC (W)	0-0 D	1-4 L
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)	1-0 W	2-3 L
Western City Rangers (W)	2-1 W	5-1 W
Hills United FC (W)	2-0 W	4-1 W
Sydney University (W)	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 3 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

University NSW (W)

DWWWWLDDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Gladesville Ravens (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	2-2	6	0	D
15/07	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	1-0	1-0	5	2	W
11/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
04/07	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
28/06	Bulls FC Academy (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
21/06	Illawarra Stingrays (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	3-1	7	0	W
14/06	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	1-0	11	1	W
06/06	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
31/05	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	2-0	3	0	W
23/05	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-1	5	1	D

APIA Leichardt (W)

LLLWWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/07	Sydney Olympic FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
11/07	Western City Rangers (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	3-1	5-1	5	4	W
05/07	NWS Spirit (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	1-0	2-1	5	3	W
28/06	Manly Utd (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-1	5	0	W
21/06	Macarthur Rams (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-0	2-1	1	1	W
14/06	Hills United FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	2-1	4-1	6	4	W
07/06	Sydney University (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
31/05	Northern Tigers FC (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	1-4	7	2	L
24/05	Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) Australia New South Wales NPL Women	0-1	2-3	2	0	L
21/05	University NSW (W) Australia New South Wales Cup Women	0-1	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in University NSW (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a University NSW (W) win (44%). Probabilities: University NSW (W) 44%, draw 25%, APIA Leichardt (W) 31%.

How many goals are expected in University NSW (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

The model expects 2.93 goals (University NSW (W) 1.62 · APIA Leichardt (W) 1.31), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in University NSW (W) vs APIA Leichardt (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.