Football · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · 10/10, 18:45

Prediction: Cacereno vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Team pages: Cacereno · Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.72Total

Cacereno1.62

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1.1

1X2

48% 28% 24%

Cacereno Draw Unionistas de Salamanca CF

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Cacereno 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDWWDL

Unionistas de Salamanca CF 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cacereno 0–2–1 Unionistas de Salamanca CF (3 last)

Unionistas de Salamanca CF1-0Cacereno
Cacereno3-3Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Unionistas de Salamanca CF2-2Cacereno

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cacereno 1525 · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1493

	Cacereno	Draw	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	48%	28%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 2.72 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cacereno	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.3	1.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0	5.2 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.20

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 07:59

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 1.90▼	Pinn 1.92
X	3.10 → 3.20▲	Pinn 3.24
2	2.90 → 3.75▲	Pinn 3.81 ★

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
18:56 +11’	2.25	3.10	2.90
13:00 +8’	1.80▼	3.30▲	3.90▲
17:18 +7’	1.85▲	3.25▼	3.80▼
07:53 +6’	1.90▲	3.20▼	3.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +59’	1.89	3.33	3.79
15:55 +89’	1.90▲	3.31▼	3.80▲
21:31 +117’	1.92▲	3.24▼	3.81▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cacereno 0–2–1 Unionistas de Salamanca CF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/08/26 Europe Friendlies	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	1-0 HT 0-0	Cacereno
28/02/26 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Cacereno	3-3 HT 2-2	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
20/12/25 Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	2-2 HT 0-0	Cacereno

Standings · Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Primera Federacion 26/27, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	UD Logrones	6	5	1	0	15	7	16
2	Lugo	6	5	1	0	9	3	16
3	Racing Ferrol	7	4	1	2	8	5	13
4	Cacereno	7	3	3	1	7	4	12
5	Athletic Bilbao B	6	3	2	1	12	8	11
6	Ponferradina	6	3	2	1	5	3	11
7	Mirandes	6	3	1	2	9	7	10
8	Zamora CF	6	3	1	2	8	6	10
9	CD Extremadura	7	3	0	4	9	8	9
10	Real Unión	6	2	2	2	13	11	8
11	Pontevedra	6	2	2	2	8	8	8
11	Deportivo Fabril	7	2	2	3	8	8	8
13	Cultural Leonesa	6	2	2	2	4	5	8
14	Unionistas de Salamanca CF	7	2	1	4	10	13	7
15	Merida	6	2	0	4	9	11	6
16	Barakaldo	7	1	3	3	6	10	6
17	Real Aviles CF	6	1	2	3	9	10	5
18	CD Coria	7	1	2	4	10	15	5
19	UD Ourense	7	1	2	4	3	10	5
20	Arenas Club de Getxo	6	0	2	4	4	14	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cacereno	Unionistas de Salamanca CF
Merida	0-2 L	1-1 D
UD Ourense	0-0 D	3-1 W
Cultural Leonesa	1-0 W	2-0 W
Mirandes	1-0 W	0-1 L
Real Madrid B	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Unionistas de Salamanca CF (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cacereno

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-2	12	1	L
27/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
20/09	Arenas Club de Getxo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
13/09	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
06/09	Deportivo Fabril Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
28/08	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
23/05	CF Talavera Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	1-2	1	5	L
17/05	Zamora CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	2-1	2	1	W
09/05	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	2-0	4-1	3	5	W
03/05	CD Arenteiro Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	4-0	3	5	W

Unionistas de Salamanca CF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Cultural Leonesa Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
27/09	Mirandes Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
19/09	UD Ourense Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-1	5	6	W
12/09	Real Aviles CF Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-3	4	6	L
05/09	Real Unión Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-4	4	5	L
30/08	Lugo Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-1	1-3	3	6	L
23/05	Racing Ferrol Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
17/05	Merida Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	1-1	4	8	D
09/05	Tenerife Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	1-1	2-1	2	4	W
02/05	Real Madrid B Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cacereno vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cacereno win (48%). Probabilities: Cacereno 48%, draw 28%, Unionistas de Salamanca CF 24%.

How many goals are expected in Cacereno vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

The model expects 2.72 goals (Cacereno 1.62 · Unionistas de Salamanca CF 1.1), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Cacereno vs Unionistas de Salamanca CF?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.