Prediction: Newtown vs Penrhyncoch
Team pages: Newtown
- Newtown1-1Penrhyncoch
- Penrhyncoch1-2Newtown
- Penrhyncoch2-2Newtown
| Newtown | Draw | Penrhyncoch | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 20% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Newtown | Penrhyncoch | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2.2 | 1.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.6 | 2.1 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Newtown 1–2–0 Penrhyncoch
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/25 Wales Championship North | Newtown | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Penrhyncoch |
| 08/08/25 Wales Championship North | Penrhyncoch | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Newtown |
| 08/09/15 Wales League Cup | Penrhyncoch | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Newtown |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Newtown | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Denbigh Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Holyhead Hotspur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Caersws | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Mold Alexandra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Rhyl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Guilsfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Bangor 1876 FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Ruthin Town FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Buckley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrhyncoch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Gresford Ath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Newtown | Penrhyncoch |
|---|---|---|
| Gresford Ath | 3-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Llandudno | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Holywell Town | 0-6 L | 0-1 L |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Rhyl | 6-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Buckley Town | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Penrhyncoch (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Newtown
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 11/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 08/04 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
0-5 | 0-6 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 24/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 6-1 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 20/03 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/03 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
Penrhyncoch
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 28/03 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 07/03 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 28/02 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Newtown vs Penrhyncoch?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Newtown win (59%). Probabilities: Newtown 59%, draw 21%, Penrhyncoch 19%.
How many goals are expected in Newtown vs Penrhyncoch?
The model expects 3.21 goals (Newtown 2.09 · Penrhyncoch 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Newtown vs Penrhyncoch?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.