Football · Wales Championship North · 08/08, 15:30
Prediction: Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra
Team pages: Guilsfield · Mold Alexandra
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Guilsfield1.81
Mold Alexandra1.25
1X2
Guilsfield
Draw
Mold Alexandra
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guilsfield
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Mold Alexandra
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guilsfield
2–1–3
Mold Alexandra
(6 last)
- Guilsfield1-2Mold Alexandra
- Mold Alexandra0-0Guilsfield
- Guilsfield3-0Mold Alexandra
- Mold Alexandra0-1Guilsfield
- Guilsfield1-2Mold Alexandra
- Guilsfield0-3Mold Alexandra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guilsfield 1476 · Mold Alexandra 1551
| Guilsfield | Draw | Mold Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 50% | 24% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mold Alexandra (rating 1476 vs 1551).
- H2H favours Mold Alexandra: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guilsfield | Mold Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 1.9 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.4 | 1.7 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 2.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guilsfield 2–1–3 Mold Alexandra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Mold Alexandra |
| 25/08/25 Wales Championship North | Mold Alexandra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Guilsfield |
| 18/07/25 Wales League Cup | Guilsfield | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Mold Alexandra |
| 30/11/24 Wales Championship North | Mold Alexandra | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Guilsfield |
| 28/09/24 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Mold Alexandra |
| 10/02/24 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Mold Alexandra |
Standings · Wales Championship North
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Newtown | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Denbigh Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Porthmadog | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Holyhead Hotspur | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Caersws | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Mold Alexandra | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Rhyl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Guilsfield | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 11 | Bangor 1876 FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Ruthin Town FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Buckley Town | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 | Penrhyncoch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | Gresford Ath | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guilsfield | Mold Alexandra |
|---|---|---|
| Gresford Ath | 4-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Caersws | 4-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Airbus UK | 0-3 L | 3-4 L |
| Flint Mountain FC | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Holywell Town | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Holyhead Hotspur | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Mold Alexandra (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guilsfield
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 14/03 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 07/03 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Mold Alexandra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/07 | Holywell Town UK Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 30/06 | Airbus UK UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 28/03 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 4-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 13/03 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-3 | 0-8 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 07/03 | Ruthin Town FC Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guilsfield win (50%). Probabilities: Guilsfield 50%, draw 25%, Mold Alexandra 26%.
How many goals are expected in Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Guilsfield 1.81 · Mold Alexandra 1.25), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Guilsfield vs Mold Alexandra?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.