Football · Wales Championship North · 15/08, 15:30
Prediction: Rhyl vs Caersws
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Rhyl1.51
Caersws1.57
1X2
Rhyl
Draw
Caersws
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rhyl
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Caersws
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Rhyl
4–2
Caersws
(6 last)
- Caersws1-0Rhyl
- Rhyl3-0Caersws
- Rhyl2-1Caersws
- Caersws7-4Rhyl
- Rhyl2-1Caersws
- Caersws2-3Rhyl
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Caersws (rating 1439 vs 1503).
- H2H favours Rhyl: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rhyl | Caersws | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 3.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhyl 4–0–2 Caersws
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Wales Championship North | Caersws | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Rhyl |
| 16/08/25 Wales Championship North | Rhyl | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Caersws |
| 19/07/25 Wales League Cup | Rhyl | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Caersws |
| 19/10/24 Wales Cup | Caersws | 7-4 HT 5-2 | Rhyl |
| 17/03/18 Wales Cymru Alliance | Rhyl | 2-1 | Caersws |
| 18/11/17 Wales Cymru Alliance | Caersws | 2-3 | Rhyl |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newtown | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Brickfield Rangers | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Bala Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Guilsfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Caersws | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Denbigh Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | Bangor 1876 FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 8 | Holyhead Hotspur | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| 10 | Ruthin Town FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 12 | Mold Alexandra | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 |
| 13 | Rhyl | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 | Gresford Ath | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 | Penrhyncoch | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Rhyl | Caersws |
|---|---|---|
| Guilsfield | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Llandudno | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Penrhyncoch | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Gresford Ath | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Denbigh Town | 3-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Caersws (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rhyl
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Porthmadog Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/07 | Llandudno UK Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Warrington Rylands Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/07 | Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/06 | Flint Town Utd UK Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 18/04 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 27/03 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
Caersws
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 13/04 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 3-2 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 03/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 28/03 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 21/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/03 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rhyl vs Caersws?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Caersws win (38%). Probabilities: Rhyl 36%, draw 26%, Caersws 38%.
How many goals are expected in Rhyl vs Caersws?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Rhyl 1.51 · Caersws 1.57), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Rhyl vs Caersws?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.