Football · Wales Championship North · 31/07, 21:00
Prediction: Ruthin Town FC vs Holyhead Hotspur
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Ruthin Town FC1.33
Holyhead Hotspur1.33
1X2
Ruthin Town FC
Draw
Holyhead Hotspur
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ruthin Town FC
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Holyhead Hotspur
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ruthin Town FC
5–1
Holyhead Hotspur
(6 last)
- Ruthin Town FC0-1Holyhead Hotspur
- Holyhead Hotspur1-3Ruthin Town FC
- Holyhead Hotspur1-2Ruthin Town FC
- Ruthin Town FC2-0Holyhead Hotspur
- Ruthin Town FC5-0Holyhead Hotspur
- Holyhead Hotspur0-1Ruthin Town FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ruthin Town FC 1446 · Holyhead Hotspur 1514
| Ruthin Town FC | Draw | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 29% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 24% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Holyhead Hotspur (rating 1446 vs 1514).
- H2H favours Ruthin Town FC: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ruthin Town FC | Holyhead Hotspur | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ruthin Town FC 5–0–1 Holyhead Hotspur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/12/25 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Holyhead Hotspur |
| 11/10/25 Wales Championship North | Holyhead Hotspur | 1-3 HT 1-3 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 17/12/22 Wales Championship North | Holyhead Hotspur | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 05/11/22 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 2-0 | Holyhead Hotspur |
| 02/04/22 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 5-0 | Holyhead Hotspur |
| 11/09/21 Wales Championship North | Holyhead Hotspur | 0-1 | Ruthin Town FC |
Standings · Wales Championship North
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bala Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Buckley Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caersws | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bangor 1876 FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rhyl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Denbigh Town | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gresford Ath | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Guilsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Holyhead Hotspur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Llanuwchllyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Mold Alexandra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newtown | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Penrhyncoch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Porthmadog | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ruthin Town FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ruthin Town FC | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Newtown | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Llandudno | 2-5 L | 1-2 L |
| Buckley Town | 1-0 W | 5-1 W |
| Gresford Ath | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Flint Mountain FC | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Mold Alexandra | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Brickfield Rangers | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Holyhead Hotspur (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ruthin Town FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 27/03 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 25/02 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 14/02 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 30/01 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
Holyhead Hotspur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
4-1 | 5-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/04 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 31/03 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/03 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 14/03 | Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 07/03 | Guilsfield Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/03 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/02 | Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 31/01 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ruthin Town FC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ruthin Town FC win (37%). Probabilities: Ruthin Town FC 37%, draw 26%, Holyhead Hotspur 37%.
How many goals are expected in Ruthin Town FC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Ruthin Town FC 1.33 · Holyhead Hotspur 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ruthin Town FC vs Holyhead Hotspur?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.