Football · Wales Championship North · 01/08, 15:30

Prediction: Rhyl vs Guilsfield

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

Rhyl1.75

Guilsfield1.58

1X2

41% 24% 34%

Rhyl Draw Guilsfield

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Rhyl 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLLLLL

Guilsfield 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLDLLWLWW

Head-to-head

Rhyl 2–2–2 Guilsfield (6 last)

Rhyl1-2Guilsfield
Guilsfield2-3Rhyl
Guilsfield4-3Rhyl
Guilsfield0-0Rhyl
Rhyl4-1Guilsfield
Guilsfield0-0Rhyl

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Rhyl 1464 · Guilsfield 1467

	Rhyl	Draw	Guilsfield
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Rhyl	Guilsfield
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.3	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.7	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.95

2 (0)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 17:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.57 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.6% Pinnacle margin 10.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:06 +3’	2.15	3.75	2.60
16:08 +2’	2.40▲	3.70▼	2.30▼
17:16 +8’	2.15▼	3.75▲	2.60▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:10	2.57	3.44	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Rhyl 2–2–2 Guilsfield

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Wales Championship North	Rhyl	1-2 HT 1-0	Guilsfield
09/08/25 Wales Championship North	Guilsfield	2-3 HT 1-1	Rhyl
28/09/19 Wales Championship North	Guilsfield	4-3	Rhyl
23/03/19 Wales Cymru Alliance	Guilsfield	0-0	Rhyl
24/11/18 Wales Cymru Alliance	Rhyl	4-1	Guilsfield
16/12/17 Wales Cymru Alliance	Guilsfield	0-0	Rhyl

Standings · Wales Championship North

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bala Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Brickfield Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Buckley Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Caersws	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Bangor 1876 FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rhyl	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Denbigh Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Gresford Ath	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Guilsfield	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Holyhead Hotspur	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Llanuwchllyn	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Mold Alexandra	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Newtown	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Penrhyncoch	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Porthmadog	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ruthin Town FC	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Rhyl	Guilsfield
Llandudno	0-2 L	1-4 L
Gresford Ath	1-0 W	4-0 W
Caersws	0-1 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Guilsfield (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Rhyl

LLWLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/07	Llandudno UK Friendlies	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
11/07	Warrington Rylands Club Friendly List	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
06/07	Colwyn Bay UK Friendlies	1-2	2-3	2	0	L
27/06	Flint Town Utd UK Friendlies	2-2	2-3	3	0	L
18/04	Penrhyncoch Wales Championship North	0-1	0-3	2	5	L
07/04	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	0-0	1-0	8	3	W
03/04	Guilsfield Wales Championship North	1-0	1-2	2	2	L
27/03	Denbigh Town Wales Championship North	2-0	3-0	0	3	W
24/03	Newtown Wales Championship North	0-3	1-6	5	1	L
21/03	Caersws Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

Guilsfield

LLLDLLWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/04	Gresford Ath Wales Championship North	2-0	4-0	5	8	W
11/04	Caersws Wales Championship North	3-1	4-1	4	4	W
06/04	Llandudno Wales Championship North	1-2	1-4	2	3	L
03/04	Rhyl Wales Championship North	0-1	2-1	8	2	W
28/03	Airbus UK Wales Championship North	0-0	0-3	2	1	L
24/03	Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North	0-0	0-1	5	0	L
21/03	Holywell Town Wales Championship North	3-2	4-4	8	3	D
14/03	Llandudno Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
07/03	Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
03/03	Brickfield Rangers Wales Championship North	1-0	1-2	6	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Rhyl vs Guilsfield?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Rhyl win (41%). Probabilities: Rhyl 41%, draw 24%, Guilsfield 34%.

How many goals are expected in Rhyl vs Guilsfield?

The model expects 3.33 goals (Rhyl 1.75 · Guilsfield 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Rhyl vs Guilsfield?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.