Football · Wales Championship North · 22/08, 15:30
Prediction: Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town FC
Team pages: Guilsfield · Ruthin Town FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
Guilsfield2.05
Ruthin Town FC1.37
1X2
Guilsfield
Draw
Ruthin Town FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Guilsfield
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Ruthin Town FC
3-0-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Guilsfield
4–1–1
Ruthin Town FC
(6 last)
- Guilsfield3-2Ruthin Town FC
- Ruthin Town FC1-1Guilsfield
- Ruthin Town FC2-0Guilsfield
- Guilsfield3-1Ruthin Town FC
- Guilsfield2-1Ruthin Town FC
- Ruthin Town FC1-2Guilsfield
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guilsfield 1523 · Ruthin Town FC 1443
| Guilsfield | Draw | Ruthin Town FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 53% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guilsfield (rating 1523 vs 1443).
- H2H favours Guilsfield: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guilsfield | Ruthin Town FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.8 | 1.4 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 2 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guilsfield 4–1–1 Ruthin Town FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/26 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 04/10/25 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Guilsfield |
| 26/10/24 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Guilsfield |
| 26/08/24 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 20/01/24 Wales Championship North | Guilsfield | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Ruthin Town FC |
| 06/10/23 Wales Championship North | Ruthin Town FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Guilsfield |
Standings · Wales Championship North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 9 |
| 2 | Newtown | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Porthmadog | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Bangor 1876 FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bala Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Guilsfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Rhyl | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 8 | Mold Alexandra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 9 | Caersws | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 10 | Denbigh Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
| 11 | Ruthin Town FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 12 | Holyhead Hotspur | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | CPD Llanuwchllyn | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 3 |
| 14 | Buckley Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Penrhyncoch | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 | Gresford Ath | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guilsfield | Ruthin Town FC |
|---|---|---|
| Newtown | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Mold Alexandra | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Rhyl | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Gresford Ath | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Llandudno | 1-4 L | 2-5 L |
| Flint Mountain FC | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Guilsfield (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guilsfield
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Caersws Wales Championship North |
3-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | Airbus UK Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 24/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 21/03 | Holywell Town Wales Championship North |
3-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | D |
Ruthin Town FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Denbigh Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 07/08 | Bala Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | Holyhead Hotspur Wales Championship North |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Newtown Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 03/04 | Llandudno Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | L |
| 27/03 | Buckley Town Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 20/03 | Gresford Ath Wales Championship North |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 13/03 | Flint Mountain FC Wales Championship North |
0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/03 | Mold Alexandra Wales Championship North |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Rhyl Wales Championship North |
2-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guilsfield win (53%). Probabilities: Guilsfield 53%, draw 23%, Ruthin Town FC 25%.
How many goals are expected in Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town FC?
The model expects 3.42 goals (Guilsfield 2.05 · Ruthin Town FC 1.37), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Guilsfield vs Ruthin Town FC?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.