Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 09/10, 19:20

Prediction: Austria Klagenfurt vs SVG Bleiburg

Team pages: Austria Klagenfurt · SVG Bleiburg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.57Total

Austria Klagenfurt2.11

SVG Bleiburg1.46

1X2

52% 23% 26%

Austria Klagenfurt Draw SVG Bleiburg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Austria Klagenfurt 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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SVG Bleiburg 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Austria Klagenfurt 1–0 SVG Bleiburg (1 last)

SVG Bleiburg3-4Austria Klagenfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Austria Klagenfurt 1504 · SVG Bleiburg 1460

	Austria Klagenfurt	Draw	SVG Bleiburg
Our model	52%	23%	26%
Market	52%	22%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austria Klagenfurt (rating 1504 vs 1460).
Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Austria Klagenfurt	SVG Bleiburg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	1.4 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.73

X4.00

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:24 +5’	1.73	4.00	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Austria Klagenfurt 1–0–0 SVG Bleiburg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SVG Bleiburg	3-4 HT 2-2	Austria Klagenfurt

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	10	6	4	0	18	8	22
2	Austria Klagenfurt	10	6	1	3	18	14	19
3	VST Volkermarkt	10	5	2	3	20	10	17
4	SK Treibach	10	5	2	3	18	11	17
5	WAC St Andra II	10	4	3	3	16	15	15
6	SVG Bleiburg	10	2	3	5	15	18	9
7	ATSV Wolfsberg	10	1	4	5	7	24	7
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	10	0	3	7	8	20	3

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Austria Klagenfurt	SVG Bleiburg
WAC St Andra II	0-2 L	2-2 D
SK Treibach	0-3 L	3-1 W
SV Donau Klagenfurt	2-1 W	3-1 W
ATSV Wolfsberg	2-0 W	0-1 L
Atus Velden	2-2 D	2-4 L
VST Volkermarkt	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Austria Klagenfurt

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-2	1	3	L
27/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-3	7	7	L
22/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-1	7	3	W
11/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	2-2	1	8	D
28/08	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
22/08	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	4-3	14	7	W
14/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	5-0	4	2	W
07/08	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-0	4	4	W

SVG Bleiburg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	3-1	4	4	W
25/09	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
19/09	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
12/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-2	7	9	L
04/09	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	2-2	2	6	D
22/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	3-4	0	7	L
15/08	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
08/08	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
31/07	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Austria Klagenfurt vs SVG Bleiburg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Austria Klagenfurt win (52%). Probabilities: Austria Klagenfurt 52%, draw 23%, SVG Bleiburg 26%.

How many goals are expected in Austria Klagenfurt vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model expects 3.57 goals (Austria Klagenfurt 2.11 · SVG Bleiburg 1.46), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Austria Klagenfurt vs SVG Bleiburg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.