Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: ATSV Wolfsberg vs SK Treibach

Team pages: ATSV Wolfsberg · SK Treibach

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.12Total

ATSV Wolfsberg1.04

SK Treibach2.08

1X2

18% 20% 61%

ATSV Wolfsberg Draw SK Treibach

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

ATSV Wolfsberg 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLDLDWLL

SK Treibach 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLDLWLW

Head-to-head

ATSV Wolfsberg 0–1–2 SK Treibach (3 last)

SK Treibach4-0ATSV Wolfsberg
SK Treibach5-1ATSV Wolfsberg
SK Treibach3-3ATSV Wolfsberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · ATSV Wolfsberg 1436 · SK Treibach 1524

	ATSV Wolfsberg	Draw	SK Treibach
Our model	17%	22%	60%
Market	19%	19%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.12 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SK Treibach (rating 1436 vs 1524).
H2H favours SK Treibach: 2-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	ATSV Wolfsberg	SK Treibach
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.5	2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.6	1.9 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.4	4.3 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.75

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.85

2 (-1.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
X	5.00 → 4.75▼	Bet365 4.75
2	1.36 → 1.44▲	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:51 +14’	5.50	5.00	1.36
07:02 +3’	4.75▼	4.75▼	1.44▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · ATSV Wolfsberg 0–1–2 SK Treibach

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Austria Regionalliga South	SK Treibach	4-0 HT 3-0	ATSV Wolfsberg
14/08/20 Austria Landesliga	SK Treibach	5-1 HT 2-0	ATSV Wolfsberg
18/04/19 Austria Landesliga	SK Treibach	3-3 HT 1-3	ATSV Wolfsberg

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Karnten

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atus Velden	11	7	4	0	20	9	25
2	SK Treibach	11	6	2	3	23	15	20
3	Austria Klagenfurt	11	6	2	3	19	15	20
4	VST Volkermarkt	11	5	2	4	21	13	17
5	WAC St Andra II	11	4	3	4	20	20	15
6	SVG Bleiburg	11	2	4	5	16	19	10
7	ATSV Wolfsberg	11	1	4	6	8	26	7
8	SV Donau Klagenfurt	11	1	3	7	11	21	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	ATSV Wolfsberg	SK Treibach
Atus Velden	1-2 L	1-2 L
VST Volkermarkt	1-4 L	0-3 L
SVG Bleiburg	1-0 W	1-3 L
WAC St Andra II	2-2 D	5-4 W
Austria Klagenfurt	0-2 L	3-0 W
SV Donau Klagenfurt	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SK Treibach (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

ATSV Wolfsberg

DLLLDLDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
02/10	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
25/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
19/09	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	2-1	2-2	4	7	D
11/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
04/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	2	9	D
28/08	SK Treibach Austria Regionalliga South	0-3	0-4	3	1	L
21/08	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-4	–	–	L
14/08	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-5	4	3	L
08/08	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-2	4	4	D

SK Treibach

WDWWLDLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	1-3	5-4	7	9	W
02/10	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	3	8	L
27/09	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-0	1	7	W
18/09	VST Volkermarkt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
11/09	SV Donau Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	4	1	D
04/09	SVG Bleiburg Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-3	6	3	L
28/08	ATSV Wolfsberg Austria Regionalliga South	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
21/08	WAC St Andra II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/08	Atus Velden Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	1	7	D
07/08	Austria Klagenfurt Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in ATSV Wolfsberg vs SK Treibach?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SK Treibach win (61%). Probabilities: ATSV Wolfsberg 18%, draw 20%, SK Treibach 61%.

How many goals are expected in ATSV Wolfsberg vs SK Treibach?

The model expects 3.12 goals (ATSV Wolfsberg 1.04 · SK Treibach 2.08), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in ATSV Wolfsberg vs SK Treibach?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.