Football · Austria Regionalliga South · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Lafnitz vs FC Gleisdorf 09

Team pages: SV Lafnitz · FC Gleisdorf 09

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

SV Lafnitz1.97

FC Gleisdorf 091.43

1X2

50% 23% 27%

SV Lafnitz Draw FC Gleisdorf 09

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Lafnitz 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDLWDDD

FC Gleisdorf 09 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLLDLLDW

Head-to-head

SV Lafnitz 6–0 FC Gleisdorf 09 (6 last)

FC Gleisdorf 091-3SV Lafnitz
SV Lafnitz2-0FC Gleisdorf 09
FC Gleisdorf 090-3SV Lafnitz
FC Gleisdorf 090-6SV Lafnitz
FC Gleisdorf 091-3SV Lafnitz
SV Lafnitz2-0FC Gleisdorf 09

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Lafnitz 1488 · FC Gleisdorf 09 1438

	SV Lafnitz	Draw	FC Gleisdorf 09
Our model	49%	24%	27%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Lafnitz (rating 1488 vs 1438).
H2H favours SV Lafnitz: 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Lafnitz	FC Gleisdorf 09
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 2.1	1.1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.1	0.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.5	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	4.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.00

23.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.96 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
06:02 +3’	1.80	4.00	3.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
07:11 +52’	1.63	3.83	3.96

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Lafnitz 6–0–0 FC Gleisdorf 09

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/08/26 Austria Regionalliga South	FC Gleisdorf 09	1-3 HT 0-2	SV Lafnitz
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	SV Lafnitz	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Gleisdorf 09
12/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Mitte	FC Gleisdorf 09	0-3 HT 0-1	SV Lafnitz
03/02/23 Club Friendly List	FC Gleisdorf 09	0-6 HT 0-1	SV Lafnitz
02/07/19 Europe Friendlies	FC Gleisdorf 09	1-3 HT 0-2	SV Lafnitz
15/02/19 Europe Friendlies	SV Lafnitz	2-0 HT 0-0	FC Gleisdorf 09

Standings · Austria Regionalliga South · Regionalliga Sud 26/27, Group Steiermark

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Deutschlandsberger SC	10	5	4	1	19	12	19
2	SC Weiz	10	4	5	1	16	10	17
3	SC Kalsdorf	10	5	2	3	17	13	17
4	SV Lafnitz	10	3	5	2	21	21	14
5	SV Allerheiligen	10	3	3	4	19	17	12
6	SV Tillmitsch	10	2	5	3	16	18	11
7	FC Gleisdorf 09	10	2	2	6	11	19	8
8	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	10	1	4	5	14	23	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Lafnitz	FC Gleisdorf 09
SV Tillmitsch	2-2 D	0-0 D
FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II	3-3 D	1-4 L
SC Weiz	3-3 D	1-2 L
SV Allerheiligen	3-1 W	1-1 D
Deutschlandsberger SC	0-3 L	2-4 L
SC Kalsdorf	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Lafnitz (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Lafnitz

WDLWDLWDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-2	3	6	D
02/10	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
25/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	3-1	3-3	–	–	D
18/09	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
01/09	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-2	9	6	D
28/08	FC Gleisdorf 09 Austria Regionalliga South	2-0	3-1	4	6	W
22/08	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	1-3	6	3	L
15/08	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/08	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	2-1	–	–	W

FC Gleisdorf 09

WLLLLDLLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	2-1	5	5	W
02/10	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
26/09	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
18/09	SC Weiz Austria Regionalliga South	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	SV Allerheiligen Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/09	Deutschlandsberger SC Austria Regionalliga South	1-2	2-4	1	4	L
28/08	SV Lafnitz Austria Regionalliga South	0-2	1-3	5	6	L
21/08	SC Kalsdorf Austria Regionalliga South	0-1	1-2	6	7	L
14/08	SV Tillmitsch Austria Regionalliga South	0-0	1-2	2	5	L
07/08	TSV Hartberg II Austria Regionalliga South	1-0	1-0	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Lafnitz vs FC Gleisdorf 09?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Lafnitz win (50%). Probabilities: SV Lafnitz 50%, draw 23%, FC Gleisdorf 09 27%.

How many goals are expected in SV Lafnitz vs FC Gleisdorf 09?

The model expects 3.4 goals (SV Lafnitz 1.97 · FC Gleisdorf 09 1.43), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Lafnitz vs FC Gleisdorf 09?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.