Prediction: Chitipa United vs Silver Strikers
Expected goals: 2.15 (Chitipa United 0.62 · Silver Strikers 1.53). The model gives 14% home, 27% draw, 59% away. Under 2.25 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Chitipa United sits at 3-1-6 (W-D-L), while Silver Strikers arrives on a 7-2-1 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Chitipa United won 1 and Silver Strikers 3, with 2 draws.
| Chitipa United | Draw | Silver Strikers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 14% | 28% | 58% |
| Market | 15% | 26% | 60% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Silver Strikers (rating 1457 vs 1589).
- H2H favours Silver Strikers: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chitipa United | Silver Strikers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 2.1 / 0.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.5 | 2.9 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 2.9 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chitipa United 1–2–3 Silver Strikers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/25 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Chitipa United |
| 12/04/25 Malawi Super League | Chitipa United | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Silver Strikers |
| 29/08/24 Malawi Super League | Chitipa United | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Silver Strikers |
| 06/04/24 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Chitipa United |
| 19/06/21 Malawi Super League | Chitipa United | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Silver Strikers |
| 25/04/21 Malawi Super League | Silver Strikers | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chitipa United |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Blue Eagles | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Mighty Wanderers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Masters FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Civil Service Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | Dedza Dynamos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | Kamuzu Barracks | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chitipa United | Silver Strikers |
|---|---|---|
| Kamuzu Barracks | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Red Lions | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Mighty Wanderers | 0-4 L | 0-0 D |
| MAFCO | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Civil Service Utd | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Moyale Barracks | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Blue Eagles | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Masters FC | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Karonga United | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 6 L | 6 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Silver Strikers (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chitipa United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 16/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 27/12 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/12 | Mzuzu City Hammers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
Silver Strikers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 20/06 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Karonga United Malawi Top 8 Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 30/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 15/01 | Namitete Zitha Malawi Challenge Cup |
4-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chitipa United vs Silver Strikers?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Silver Strikers win (59%). Probabilities: Chitipa United 14%, draw 27%, Silver Strikers 59%.
How many goals are expected in Chitipa United vs Silver Strikers?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Chitipa United 0.62 · Silver Strikers 1.53), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chitipa United vs Silver Strikers?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.