Prediction: Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos
Expected goals: 2.15 (Karonga United 1.45 · Dedza Dynamos 0.7). The model gives 54% home, 29% draw, 17% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
On recent form, Karonga United is 2-3-5 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Dedza Dynamos 2-2-6 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Karonga United won 2 and Dedza Dynamos 2, with 2 draws.
| Karonga United | Draw | Dedza Dynamos | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 29% | 17% |
| Market | 55% | 28% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Karonga United | Dedza Dynamos | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.4 | 0.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.9 | 0.1 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Karonga United 2–2–2 Dedza Dynamos
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 Malawi Challenge Cup | Dedza Dynamos | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Karonga United |
| 26/11/25 Malawi Super League | Karonga United | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 18/05/25 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Karonga United |
| 17/11/24 Malawi Super League | Karonga United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 28/07/24 Malawi Challenge Cup | Karonga United | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dedza Dynamos |
| 30/06/24 Malawi Super League | Dedza Dynamos | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Karonga United |
Standings · Malawi Super League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Blue Eagles | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Mighty Wanderers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Masters FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Civil Service Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | Dedza Dynamos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | Kamuzu Barracks | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Karonga United | Dedza Dynamos |
|---|---|---|
| Moyale Barracks | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Blue Eagles | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Red Lions | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Mighty Wanderers | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Civil Service Utd | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| MAFCO | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Kamuzu Barracks | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Masters FC | 1-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Karonga United (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Karonga United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Silver Strikers Malawi Top 8 Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 31/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 27/05 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 03/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/01 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
Dedza Dynamos
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 20/06 | MAFCO Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 31/05 | Kamuzu Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Masters FC Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 17/05 | Blue Eagles Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 10/05 | Red Lions Malawi Super League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Civil Service Utd Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Moyale Barracks Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/02 | Big Bullets Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/01 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Challenge Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Karonga United win (54%). Probabilities: Karonga United 54%, draw 29%, Dedza Dynamos 17%.
How many goals are expected in Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos?
The model expects 2.15 goals (Karonga United 1.45 · Dedza Dynamos 0.7), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Karonga United vs Dedza Dynamos?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.