Prediction: Blue Eagles vs Moyale Barracks
Expected goals: 2.4 (Blue Eagles 1.58 · Moyale Barracks 0.82). The model gives 54% home, 28% draw, 18% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Blue Eagles with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Moyale Barracks has piled up 3-4-3 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Blue Eagles won 2 and Moyale Barracks 1, with 3 draws.
| Blue Eagles | Draw | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 54% | 28% | 18% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Blue Eagles: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blue Eagles | Moyale Barracks | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 1.8 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.3 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Blue Eagles 2–3–1 Moyale Barracks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 10/05/25 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 28/05/23 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 30/07/22 Malawi Super League | Blue Eagles | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Moyale Barracks |
| 02/04/22 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
| 19/10/19 Malawi Super League | Moyale Barracks | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blue Eagles |
Standings · Malawi Super League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Silver Strikers | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 2 | Blue Eagles | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Big Bullets | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 16 |
| 4 | Mighty Wanderers | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Ekhaya FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| 6 | Red Lions | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Masters FC | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Moyale Barracks | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | Civil Service Utd | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | Mitundu Baptist FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | MAFCO | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 12 | Karonga United | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Chitipa United | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 9 |
| 14 | Creck SC | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 15 | Dedza Dynamos | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 5 |
| 16 | Kamuzu Barracks | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Blue Eagles | Moyale Barracks |
|---|---|---|
| Mitundu Baptist FC | 2-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Karonga United | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Creck SC | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Big Bullets | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Dedza Dynamos | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Silver Strikers | 1-0 W | 1-4 L |
| Chitipa United | 0-1 L | 3-2 W |
| Ekhaya FC | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 5 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Blue Eagles (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Blue Eagles
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 21/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/05 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/01 | MAFCO Malawi Challenge Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 27/12 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
Moyale Barracks
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Karonga United Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 21/06 | Mitundu Baptist FC Malawi Super League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Big Bullets Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Creck SC Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ekhaya FC Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Chitipa United Malawi Super League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | Silver Strikers Malawi Super League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 27/12 | Dedza Dynamos Malawi Super League |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 20/12 | Mighty Wanderers Malawi Super League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Blue Eagles vs Moyale Barracks?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Blue Eagles win (54%). Probabilities: Blue Eagles 54%, draw 28%, Moyale Barracks 18%.
How many goals are expected in Blue Eagles vs Moyale Barracks?
The model expects 2.4 goals (Blue Eagles 1.58 · Moyale Barracks 0.82), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Blue Eagles vs Moyale Barracks?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.