Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 14/08, 19:00
Prediction: Academica vs Feirense
Team pages: Academica · Feirense
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.25Total
Academica1.23
Feirense1.02
1X2
Academica
Draw
Feirense
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Academica
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Feirense
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Academica
0–1–5
Feirense
(6 last)
- Academica1-2Feirense
- Feirense1-0Academica
- Feirense1-0Academica
- Academica0-1Feirense
- Feirense1-0Academica
- Academica1-1Feirense
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Academica 1545 · Feirense 1512
| Academica | Draw | Feirense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 31% | 29% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.25 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Feirense: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Academica | Feirense | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.2 | 2.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Academica 0–1–5 Feirense
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/22 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academica | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Feirense |
| 11/09/21 Portugal Segunda Liga | Feirense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Academica |
| 22/02/21 Portugal Segunda Liga | Feirense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Academica |
| 29/09/20 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academica | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Feirense |
| 29/02/20 Portugal Segunda Liga | Feirense | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Academica |
| 22/09/19 Portugal Segunda Liga | Academica | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Feirense |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Lusitania Lourosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tondela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | SC Farense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Portimonense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Sporting B | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Feirense | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Amarante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leixoes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | UD Leiria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Chaves | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Academica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | Caldas SC Europe Friendlies |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | UD Santarem Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | D |
| 16/05 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 12/04 | Amarante Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
Feirense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Uniao de Lamas Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Casa Pia Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 11 | W |
| 28/04 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 17/04 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 04/04 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Academica vs Feirense?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Academica win (41%). Probabilities: Academica 41%, draw 29%, Feirense 30%.
How many goals are expected in Academica vs Feirense?
The model expects 2.25 goals (Academica 1.23 · Feirense 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Academica vs Feirense?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.