Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 22/08, 12:00
Prediction: Leixoes vs UD Leiria
Team pages: Leixoes · UD Leiria
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Leixoes2.28
UD Leiria1.12
1X2
Leixoes
Draw
UD Leiria
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Leixoes
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
UD Leiria
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leixoes
1–2–3
UD Leiria
(6 last)
- Leixoes1-4UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-3Leixoes
- Leixoes0-1UD Leiria
- UD Leiria1-0Leixoes
- Leixoes0-0UD Leiria
- UD Leiria0-0Leixoes
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leixoes (rating 1557 vs 1437).
- H2H favours UD Leiria: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leixoes | UD Leiria | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leixoes 1–2–3 UD Leiria
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 1-4 HT 0-3 | UD Leiria |
| 25/10/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Leixoes |
| 30/03/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | UD Leiria |
| 03/11/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Leixoes |
| 06/04/24 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-0 HT 0-0 | UD Leiria |
| 18/11/23 Portugal Segunda Liga | UD Leiria | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Leixoes |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Benfica B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sporting B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Lusitania Lourosa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Tondela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Portimonense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | SCU Torreense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 10 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Felgueiras 1932 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Amarante | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Leixoes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | UD Leiria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leixoes | UD Leiria |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica B | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lusitania Lourosa | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Leixoes (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leixoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 01/08 | Casa Pia Europe Friendlies |
3-2 | 6-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Maritimo Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 20/04 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 12/04 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 22/03 | Pacos Ferreira Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
UD Leiria
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 28/07 | Las Palmas Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 4-2 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/04 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leixoes win (63%). Probabilities: Leixoes 63%, draw 21%, UD Leiria 17%.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Leixoes 2.28 · UD Leiria 1.12), with a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leixoes vs UD Leiria?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.