Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 23/08, 17:00
Prediction: Vizela vs Amarante
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Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Vizela1.31
Amarante0.87
1X2
Vizela
Draw
Amarante
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Vizela
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Amarante
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vizela
1–0
Amarante
(1 last)
- Amarante1-3Vizela
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vizela 1469 · Amarante 1506
| Vizela | Draw | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 31% | 24% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.18 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vizela | Amarante | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/10/60% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.2 | 2.3 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vizela 1–0–0 Amarante
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/19 Europe Friendlies | Amarante | 1-3 HT 1-2 | Vizela |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benfica B | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | SC Farense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Lusitania Lourosa | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Sporting B | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vizela | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | Tondela | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 11 | SCU Torreense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 12 | Penafiel | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | AVS | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Amarante | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 | UD Leiria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 | FC Porto B | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 | Chaves | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vizela
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/08 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Celta Fortuna Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 09/05 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | D |
| 26/04 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 12/04 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 07/04 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
Amarante
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Moreirense Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Guimaraes B Portugal Liga 3 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | UD Santarem Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Trofense Portugal Liga 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | CF Os Belenenses Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | CD Mafra Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Academica Portugal Liga 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 04/04 | Varzim Portugal Liga 3 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vizela vs Amarante?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Vizela win (47%). Probabilities: Vizela 47%, draw 29%, Amarante 25%.
How many goals are expected in Vizela vs Amarante?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Vizela 1.31 · Amarante 0.87), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Vizela vs Amarante?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.