Football · Germany Bundesliga I · 10/10, 18:30

Prediction: RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Team pages: RB Leipzig · Eintracht Frankfurt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.22Total

RB Leipzig2.73

Eintracht Frankfurt1.5

1X2

62% 20% 18%

RB Leipzig Draw Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

RB Leipzig 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLWLWL

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLLDDLWD

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig 4–1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt (6 last)

Eintracht Frankfurt1-3RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig6-0Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt4-0RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig2-1Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig3-0Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt2-2RB Leipzig

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RB Leipzig 1534 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1540

	RB Leipzig	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
Our model	63%	18%	19%
Market	62%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.22 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours RB Leipzig: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RB Leipzig	Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.8 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 6.2	2.3 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	3.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.50

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.54
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.99 ★
2	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.9% Pinnacle margin 4.4%

Time*	1	X	2
03:05 +4’	1.50	4.50	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:33 +516’	1.54	4.99	5.11

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RB Leipzig 4–1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-3 HT 1-1	RB Leipzig
06/12/25 Germany Bundesliga I	RB Leipzig	6-0 HT 2-0	Eintracht Frankfurt
26/04/25 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	4-0 HT 1-0	RB Leipzig
15/12/24 Germany Bundesliga I	RB Leipzig	2-1 HT 1-1	Eintracht Frankfurt
04/12/24 Germany DFB Pokal	RB Leipzig	3-0 HT 1-0	Eintracht Frankfurt
18/05/24 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	2-2 HT 0-1	RB Leipzig

Standings · Germany Bundesliga I

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	14	2	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	10
4	Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	7
6	Mainz	4	2	1	1	10	6	7
7	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	5
11	Schalke	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
12	Paderborn	4	1	1	2	3	5	4
13	Cologne	4	1	1	2	6	9	4
14	TSG Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	3
16	Hamburg	4	1	0	3	2	13	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	1
18	Borussia M'gladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RB Leipzig	Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburg	5-0 W	1-2 L
SC Freiburg	1-4 L	2-2 D
Union Berlin	3-1 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RB Leipzig (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RB Leipzig

WWWLWLWLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
13/09	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	5-0	7	3	W
05/09	Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I	0-1	1-3	7	1	L
29/08	Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	3-0	7	1	W
16/05	SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-2	1-4	2	1	L
09/05	St Pauli Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	2-1	3	2	W
02/05	Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	1-4	3	3	L
24/04	Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	3-1	10	2	W
18/04	Eintracht Frankfurt Germany Bundesliga I	1-1	3-1	6	1	W
11/04	Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-0	11	5	W

Eintracht Frankfurt

WLDLLDDLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Mainz Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
06/09	Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	1-4	9	2	L
29/08	Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/05	VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	2-2	6	5	D
08/05	Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I	1-2	2-3	2	3	L
02/05	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-2	9	7	L
25/04	Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I	0-1	1-1	7	3	D
18/04	RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I	1-1	1-3	4	1	L
11/04	Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	2-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RB Leipzig win (62%). Probabilities: RB Leipzig 62%, draw 20%, Eintracht Frankfurt 18%.

How many goals are expected in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The model expects 4.22 goals (RB Leipzig 2.73 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.5), with a 52% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RB Leipzig vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.