Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 21/08, 19:00
Prediction: FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Kremser SC
Team pages: FC Marchfeld Donauauen · Kremser SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.18Total
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.9
Kremser SC1.28
1X2
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Draw
Kremser SC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Kremser SC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
2–1–3
Kremser SC
(6 last)
- FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-1Kremser SC
- Kremser SC1-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
- Kremser SC1-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
- FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-1Kremser SC
- FC Marchfeld Donauauen3-2Kremser SC
- Kremser SC4-0FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1533 · Kremser SC 1442
| FC Marchfeld Donauauen | Draw | Kremser SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 51% | 24% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1533 vs 1442).
- H2H favours Kremser SC: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Marchfeld Donauauen | Kremser SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0 | 4.3 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 2–1–3 Kremser SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Kremser SC |
| 07/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost | Kremser SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
| 21/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost | Kremser SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
| 23/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Kremser SC |
| 24/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Kremser SC |
| 27/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost | Kremser SC | 4-0 HT 0-0 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen |
Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiener Sportclub | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Oberwart | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | SV Gloggnitz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | SR Fach-Donaufeld | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Parndorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| 8 | SV Leobendorf | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | SV Horn | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 10 | FCM Traiskirchen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| 11 | Favoritner AC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 12 | SC Wiener Viktoria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Kremser SC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 14 | SV Donau | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 1 |
| 15 | Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 | SV Wienerberg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Marchfeld Donauauen | Kremser SC |
|---|---|---|
| SV Donau | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Parndorf | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Marchfeld Donauauen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-1 | 4-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 07/08 | SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 01/08 | SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost |
4-0 | 5-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Widzew Lodz Europe Friendlies |
1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 10/07 | Rapid Vienna II Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 03/07 | SC Kalsdorf Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 26/06 | SC Weiz Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 03/06 | SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
Kremser SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | D |
| 07/08 | SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/07 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 25/07 | Austria Lustenau Austria Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | SKU Amstetten Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | First Vienna FC 1894 Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 05/06 | Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-0 | 5-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 22/05 | FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Kremser SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (51%). Probabilities: FC Marchfeld Donauauen 51%, draw 24%, Kremser SC 25%.
How many goals are expected in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Kremser SC?
The model expects 3.18 goals (FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.9 · Kremser SC 1.28), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Marchfeld Donauauen vs Kremser SC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.